Cracking the Moon's Secrets: New Findings on Lunar Shrinkage
Astronomy Daily: Space News October 21, 2026x
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Cracking the Moon's Secrets: New Findings on Lunar Shrinkage

AnnaAnnaHost
Show notes The Moon Is Still Shrinking Watters, Banks, Nypaver and Robinson (Planetary Science Journal, 14 Oct 2026) map more than 10,000 young thrust faults — ~8,900 lobate scarps and 2,000+ small mare ridges — with LRO's camera. Together they record about 42–46 m of radial contraction over the last ~400–800 million years, at most ~11 cm per million years. That's less than thermal models predict, pointing to a thick, porous, insulating megaregolith (or a strong elastic lithosphere) that delayed faulting. The ~4 MPa stress matches Apollo shallow-moonquake stress drops, so faults may still be growing today — relevant to siting lunar bases. A Soil Map for Mars University of Sydney PhD student Daniel Irving and Prof. Alex McBratney (Catena 275) classify almost 800 million Martian locations into 10 realms, 100 assemblages and 2,000 forms of 'areths', mapping 92% of the planet. Top candidate for plant growth, Nohibareth (score 0.93; ~72% clay, pH 6.8), covers 0.14% of the surface around Tharsis, Arabia Terra and Elysium. Candidates for study, not greenhouse sites; perchlorate and nitrogen not yet included. Euclid Finds Its First Comet ESA's Euclid discovered C/2026 S1 (Euclid) in Deep Field North images from 16–24 September, flagged by Mikko Pöntinen's moving-object software and confirmed by the Minor Planet Center on 8 October. ~1.3 billion km away on a steep, thousands-of-years orbit. Uranus and Neptune: Cousins, Not Twins Briand, Hue, Mousis, Cavalié et al. (A&A 714, A364) use upper-tropospheric carbon monoxide, including ALMA data, to infer deep oxygen: Uranus ~47–177× protosolar, Neptune ~182–342×. Contrasting C/O ratios suggest Neptune's building blocks formed closer to the Sun. Accepted version online since late August. Quick hits MMX launched 04:41:03 JST 20 Oct on H3 F10; separation ~71 min 13 s; JAXA confirms the spacecraft is operating normally. Roman's Wide Field Instrument focused to 63 nm RMS against ~90 nm required. Artemis II heat shield: 9 char-loss spots vs 103 on Artemis I. Hera's BRM-2 burn Thursday 22 October. Skywatch Orionids peak 21–22 Oct — watch between moonset and dawn (moonset Thu morning: 03:38 Sydney, 03:22 LA, 03:12 NY, 02:49 London). Mercury 16.5° up at civil dusk from Sydney. Venus at inferior conjunction ~24 Oct. Moon ~6° from Saturn 24 Oct. Full Moon 26 Oct 04:11 UTC. UK clocks go back 25 Oct, US on 1 Nov. Always use ISO 12312-2 certified filters for any solar viewing. Sources · Watters et al. — Thrust Faulting and the Late-stage Contraction of the Moon (PSJ, 14 Oct 2026) — https://doi.org/10.3847/PSJ/ae9eae · Smithsonian NASM — New Study Reveals How Much the Moon Is Shrinking — https://airandspace.si.edu/newsroom/press-releases/new-study-reveals-how-much-moon-shrinking · University of Sydney — Sydney student creates first map of Martian soils — https://www.sydney.edu.au/news-opinion/news/2026/10/16/sydney-student-creates-first-map-of-martian-soils.html · McBratney, Irving et al. — Areths and PPACS (Catena 275) — https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2026.110649 · ESA — Euclid discovers new comet — https://www.esa.int/Science_Exploration/Space_Science/Euclid/Euclid_discovers_new_comet · SwRI — New ideas about origins of Uranus, Neptune — https://www.swri.org/newsroom/press-releases/swri-staff-contribute-new-ideas-about-origins-of-uranus-neptune · Briand et al. — Contrasting C/O ratios in Uranus and Neptune (A&A 714, A364) — https://doi.org/10.1051/0004-6361/202660770 · JAXA — Launch result of MMX aboard H3 F10 — https://global.jaxa.jp/press/2026/10/20261020-1_e.html · NASA — Roman team checks out main instrument, sharpens focus — https://science.nasa.gov/missions/roman-space-telescope/ · NASA — Rigorous analysis confirms Artemis II heat shield performance — https://www.nasa.gov/missions/artemis/artemis-2/rigorous-analysis-confirms-nasas-artemis-ii-heat-shield-performance/

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This episode includes AI-generated content.


00:00:00 --> 00:00:03 Anna: Hi, everyone, and welcome back to astronomy

00:00:03 --> 00:00:05 daily. Today, 10

00:00:05 --> 00:00:08 cracks in the face of the Moon, and every one

00:00:08 --> 00:00:11 of them tells the same story. Our Moon

00:00:11 --> 00:00:13 is still shrinking, and today

00:00:13 --> 00:00:16 Avery: we know by how much. Plus, a

00:00:16 --> 00:00:18 PhD student in Sydney has drawn the first

00:00:18 --> 00:00:20 soil map of Mars.

00:00:20 --> 00:00:23 A dark energy telescope has stumbled onto a

00:00:23 --> 00:00:25 brand new comet. And two planets

00:00:25 --> 00:00:28 everyone calls twins turn out to be more

00:00:28 --> 00:00:29 like distant cousins.

00:00:30 --> 00:00:32 Anna: We'll also catch up on Japan's Phobos

00:00:32 --> 00:00:35 mission, now safely on its way, and a

00:00:35 --> 00:00:37 telescope that's turned out even sharper than

00:00:37 --> 00:00:38 its builders hoped.

00:00:39 --> 00:00:41 Avery: It's Tuesday, the 20th of October

00:00:41 --> 00:00:44 2026. This is Astronomy AstroDailyPod

00:00:44 --> 00:00:46 series five, episode 209.

00:00:47 --> 00:00:47 I'm, um, Avery.

00:00:48 --> 00:00:50 Anna: And I'm Anna. Let's get into it.

00:00:51 --> 00:00:52 Avery: Here we go then.

00:00:52 --> 00:00:54 Anna: Most of us grow up thinking of the Moon as

00:00:54 --> 00:00:56 finished, geologically dead.

00:00:57 --> 00:00:59 Everything interesting happened billions of

00:00:59 --> 00:01:02 years ago, and since then, it has just

00:01:02 --> 00:01:05 sat there collecting craters. A

00:01:05 --> 00:01:07 new study published last Wednesday in the

00:01:07 --> 00:01:09 Planetary Science Journal says that picture

00:01:09 --> 00:01:12 is wrong in a very specific, measurable way.

00:01:13 --> 00:01:16 Avery: This comes from Tom Waters, a, uh, scientist

00:01:16 --> 00:01:18 Emeritus at the Smithsonian's National Air

00:01:18 --> 00:01:20 and Space Museum with Maria Banks at NASA

00:01:20 --> 00:01:23 Goddard Corporation, Cole Knyphaver and Mark

00:01:23 --> 00:01:25 Robinson, who leads the camera on NASA's

00:01:25 --> 00:01:26 Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter.

00:01:26 --> 00:01:29 Anna: And Robinson's name should ring a bell for

00:01:29 --> 00:01:31 regular listeners. His team's change

00:01:31 --> 00:01:34 detection work on that same camera gave us

00:01:34 --> 00:01:36 the brand new lunar crater we covered back in

00:01:36 --> 00:01:39 episode 196. So what did

00:01:39 --> 00:01:42 they find? More than 10 young

00:01:42 --> 00:01:45 faults spread right across the lunar surface.

00:01:45 --> 00:01:47 About 8 of them are what

00:01:47 --> 00:01:50 geologists call lobate scarps. And little

00:01:50 --> 00:01:53 over 2 are small ridges on the dark lunar

00:01:53 --> 00:01:54 plains.

00:01:54 --> 00:01:57 Avery: The maria paint us a picture of a lobate

00:01:57 --> 00:01:57 scarp.

00:01:58 --> 00:02:00 Anna: Imagine a cliff or a step

00:02:00 --> 00:02:03 running across the landscape. It forms when

00:02:03 --> 00:02:06 the crust is squeezed so hard it breaks and

00:02:06 --> 00:02:08 one side gets shoved up and over the other.

00:02:09 --> 00:02:11 That's a thrust fault on the Moon. They're

00:02:11 --> 00:02:14 usually tens of metres high and a few

00:02:14 --> 00:02:16 kilometres long, though the release shows one

00:02:16 --> 00:02:19 near the North Pole, inside a crater called

00:02:19 --> 00:02:22 Mouch's L, standing more than 100 metres

00:02:22 --> 00:02:22 tall.

00:02:23 --> 00:02:26 Avery: And, um, these are young. On

00:02:26 --> 00:02:28 the Moon, young is a relative word.

00:02:28 --> 00:02:31 Anna: Very relative. Young here means the last few

00:02:31 --> 00:02:34 hundred million years. The tell is that they

00:02:34 --> 00:02:36 look crisp, they cut straight through small

00:02:36 --> 00:02:38 craters, and they haven't been battered flat

00:02:38 --> 00:02:41 by later impacts over the age of the Moon.

00:02:41 --> 00:02:43 That's yesterday afternoon.

00:02:43 --> 00:02:46 Avery: So why is the Moon being squeezed at

00:02:46 --> 00:02:49 all? There's no plate tectonics up there.

00:02:49 --> 00:02:52 Anna: Exactly. And that's the key. The Moon's

00:02:52 --> 00:02:55 interior is still warm and it's slowly

00:02:55 --> 00:02:58 cooling. As rock cools, it contracts.

00:02:58 --> 00:03:00 The inside of the moon gets a little smaller

00:03:00 --> 00:03:02 and the rigid outer shell has to fit around

00:03:02 --> 00:03:05 it. Think of a grape drying into a raisin.

00:03:05 --> 00:03:08 Except the Moon's skin is brittle rock,

00:03:08 --> 00:03:11 so instead of wrinkling, it cracks and breaks

00:03:11 --> 00:03:12 along these thrust faults.

00:03:12 --> 00:03:15 Avery: And Earth tides add to it, don't they?

00:03:15 --> 00:03:18 Anna: They do. Earlier work by the same group

00:03:18 --> 00:03:21 showed the orientation of the faults.

00:03:21 --> 00:03:23 Only makes sense if you add tidal stresses

00:03:23 --> 00:03:26 from Earth on top of the global shrinking.

00:03:26 --> 00:03:28 But the shrinking is the engine.

00:03:28 --> 00:03:30 Avery: Here's the headline, then. Um, how much

00:03:30 --> 00:03:32 smaller has it gotten?

00:03:32 --> 00:03:34 Anna: The team added up how much the surface has

00:03:34 --> 00:03:36 been compressed across all of those faults,

00:03:36 --> 00:03:39 highlands and Maria together, and converted

00:03:39 --> 00:03:42 that into a change in radius. The answer is

00:03:42 --> 00:03:45 about 42 to 46 metres. The

00:03:45 --> 00:03:47 Smithsonian rounds it to 45. That's over

00:03:47 --> 00:03:50 roughly the last 400 to 800 million

00:03:50 --> 00:03:51 years.

00:03:52 --> 00:03:54 Avery: 45 metres off a radius of more

00:03:54 --> 00:03:57 than 1700 kilometres.

00:03:57 --> 00:03:58 That's tiny.

00:03:59 --> 00:04:01 Anna: It is. If the pace were steady,

00:04:02 --> 00:04:05 it works out to at most about 11 centimetres

00:04:05 --> 00:04:07 every million years. A tenth of a

00:04:07 --> 00:04:10 micrometre a year. Earth's tectonic plates

00:04:10 --> 00:04:12 move about a centimetre and a half a year,

00:04:12 --> 00:04:15 roughly the rate your fingernails grow. So

00:04:15 --> 00:04:18 the Moon is shrinking more than 100 times

00:04:18 --> 00:04:20 more slowly than Earth's plates move.

00:04:20 --> 00:04:22 Avery: And, um, this updates an older figure,

00:04:22 --> 00:04:22 doesn't it?

00:04:22 --> 00:04:25 Anna: It does. Waters team first raised

00:04:25 --> 00:04:28 this in 2010, when the orbiter's camera had

00:04:28 --> 00:04:31 turned up 14 new scarps. Back then,

00:04:31 --> 00:04:34 they offered a rough estimate of about 100

00:04:34 --> 00:04:37 metres. By 2015, the count was

00:04:37 --> 00:04:39 over 3. Now, with more than

00:04:39 --> 00:04:42 10 mapped, the number has firmed up

00:04:42 --> 00:04:45 and it's come in at less than half that early

00:04:45 --> 00:04:46 rough guess.

00:04:46 --> 00:04:48 Avery: So what's the surprise here? The Moon

00:04:48 --> 00:04:49 shrinking isn't new.

00:04:50 --> 00:04:53 Anna: The surprise is how little. Models of

00:04:53 --> 00:04:55 how the Moon should have cooled predict much

00:04:55 --> 00:04:57 more contraction than these faults record.

00:04:58 --> 00:05:01 And the team didn't find old, worn down

00:05:01 --> 00:05:03 scarps from earlier in lunar history. So

00:05:03 --> 00:05:05 it looks as if the widespread faulting

00:05:05 --> 00:05:07 started relatively late.

00:05:07 --> 00:05:10 Avery: Which means something held the heat in.

00:05:10 --> 00:05:13 Anna: That's their leading explanation. The ancient

00:05:13 --> 00:05:16 lunar crust was pulverised by billions of

00:05:16 --> 00:05:18 years of impacts into a thick, porous,

00:05:18 --> 00:05:21 heavily fractured layer called the mega

00:05:21 --> 00:05:24 regolith. Porous broken rock is a poor

00:05:24 --> 00:05:26 conductor of heat, so it may have acted like

00:05:26 --> 00:05:29 a blanket, keeping the interior warm and

00:05:29 --> 00:05:31 delaying the cooling and so delaying the

00:05:31 --> 00:05:34 shrinking. The paper also offers an

00:05:34 --> 00:05:37 alternative a strong, rigid outer

00:05:37 --> 00:05:39 shell that simply resisted breaking until the

00:05:39 --> 00:05:41 stress built past a threshold.

00:05:42 --> 00:05:44 Avery: And, um, they see a hint of that in where the

00:05:44 --> 00:05:46 faults are right.

00:05:46 --> 00:05:49 Anna: The thickest crust has the fewest faults,

00:05:49 --> 00:05:52 which also suggests those areas are the most

00:05:52 --> 00:05:53 stable.

00:05:53 --> 00:05:56 Avery: Regular listeners might feel a sense of

00:05:56 --> 00:05:57 deja vu here.

00:05:58 --> 00:06:00 Anna: Back in episode 192, we covered Mercury,

00:06:00 --> 00:06:03 where scarps were hiding under rough terrain

00:06:03 --> 00:06:05 and the planet had shrunk more than anyone

00:06:05 --> 00:06:08 counted. Here, it's the reverse. A, uh,

00:06:09 --> 00:06:11 careful count of nearly every fault finds the

00:06:11 --> 00:06:13 Moon shrank less than the theory expected.

00:06:14 --> 00:06:17 Same physics, opposite surprise. And

00:06:17 --> 00:06:19 it's a reminder we keep coming back to on

00:06:19 --> 00:06:22 this show. What you can count depends on how

00:06:22 --> 00:06:23 hard you looked.

00:06:23 --> 00:06:25 Avery: So we all need to look harder.

00:06:26 --> 00:06:28 Anna: It does. And this matters for anyone planning

00:06:28 --> 00:06:31 to live there. Waters calculates the

00:06:31 --> 00:06:33 compressional stress from this much shrinking

00:06:33 --> 00:06:36 at about 4 MPa. That lines

00:06:36 --> 00:06:38 up with the stress released in the shallow

00:06:38 --> 00:06:40 moonquakes that Apollo's seismometers

00:06:40 --> 00:06:43 recorded in the 1970s. On

00:06:43 --> 00:06:45 Earth, about 90% of seismic activity is

00:06:45 --> 00:06:48 concentrated along plate boundaries. The Moon

00:06:48 --> 00:06:51 is a single plate, so its faults are spread

00:06:51 --> 00:06:53 everywhere. Waters says the growth of

00:06:53 --> 00:06:55 existing faults and the formation of new ones

00:06:55 --> 00:06:57 is expected to continue today.

00:06:57 --> 00:07:00 Avery: So a, uh, moonquake could happen anywhere.

00:07:00 --> 00:07:03 Anna: That's the point. And we want to be careful

00:07:03 --> 00:07:05 with it. This isn't a warning that something

00:07:05 --> 00:07:08 is about to happen. It's about where

00:07:08 --> 00:07:11 you choose to put a permanent base. Waters

00:07:11 --> 00:07:13 earlier work crowned young faults near some

00:07:13 --> 00:07:15 of the candidate Artemis landing regions at

00:07:15 --> 00:07:18 the South Pole. If the thickest crust is the

00:07:18 --> 00:07:21 most stable, that's useful information for

00:07:21 --> 00:07:21 planners.

00:07:22 --> 00:07:23 Avery: What should we keep in mind?

00:07:24 --> 00:07:24 Anna: Three things.

00:07:25 --> 00:07:27 First, the rate assumes the shrinking

00:07:27 --> 00:07:30 happened at a steady pace, which it may not

00:07:30 --> 00:07:32 have. Second, the ages of these

00:07:32 --> 00:07:35 faults are relative. They come from how crisp

00:07:35 --> 00:07:38 they look and what they cut across, not from

00:07:38 --> 00:07:40 dated samples. And third, the

00:07:40 --> 00:07:42 moonquake point is about sighting and

00:07:42 --> 00:07:44 engineering, not prediction.

00:07:44 --> 00:07:46 Avery: And there's no Australian team on this one?

00:07:47 --> 00:07:49 Anna: No, and we won't pretend otherwise.

00:07:50 --> 00:07:52 But the Moon is the one world every listener

00:07:52 --> 00:07:55 can step outside and see north or south.

00:07:56 --> 00:07:58 Tonight's waxing gibbous will be up in the

00:07:58 --> 00:08:00 evening sky from Sydney to London.

00:08:01 --> 00:08:03 And somewhere on that face too small to

00:08:03 --> 00:08:05 see, a, uh, fault might be

00:08:05 --> 00:08:08 Avery: growing, staying in the solar system.

00:08:08 --> 00:08:11 And a story from right here in Sydney. If

00:08:11 --> 00:08:13 people are ever going to grow food on Mars,

00:08:13 --> 00:08:15 they'll need to know what they're growing it

00:08:15 --> 00:08:17 in. The University of Sydney has just

00:08:17 --> 00:08:19 produced the first comprehensive

00:08:19 --> 00:08:21 classification and map of Martian soils.

00:08:21 --> 00:08:22 Anna: Who's behind it?

00:08:23 --> 00:08:25 Avery: PhD student Daniel Irving from the Sydney

00:08:25 --> 00:08:27 Institute of Agriculture, working with

00:08:27 --> 00:08:30 Professor Alex McBratney, one of the world's

00:08:30 --> 00:08:33 leading soil scientists. The

00:08:33 --> 00:08:36 paper is in the soil science journal Ktena,

00:08:36 --> 00:08:38 went online at the start of this month, and

00:08:38 --> 00:08:39 the university announced it on Friday.

00:08:40 --> 00:08:42 Anna: And they've had to invent a word

00:08:43 --> 00:08:44 they have.

00:08:44 --> 00:08:46 Avery: On Earth, we talk about soils, but, uh,

00:08:46 --> 00:08:49 they've proposed calling Martian soil classes

00:08:49 --> 00:08:51 Areths, from Ares, the Greek name for

00:08:51 --> 00:08:54 Mars. The System groups almost 800

00:08:54 --> 00:08:57 million locations into a hierarchy. Ten

00:08:57 --> 00:08:59 broad realms, 100 assemblages

00:09:00 --> 00:09:03 and 2 detailed forms. The

00:09:03 --> 00:09:05 map covers 92% of the planet, based

00:09:05 --> 00:09:08 on what? Orbital observations

00:09:08 --> 00:09:11 and models of properties like texture,

00:09:11 --> 00:09:14 mineralogy, ph, and how deep the soil

00:09:14 --> 00:09:17 goes. As a test, they scored all

00:09:17 --> 00:09:20 2000 forms on how well they might support

00:09:20 --> 00:09:23 plants. One called Nohi

00:09:23 --> 00:09:24 Barreth, came out on top at

00:09:24 --> 00:09:26 0.93 out of 1.

00:09:27 --> 00:09:30 Its mottled profile is about 72%

00:09:30 --> 00:09:33 clay, with a pH of 6.8, which

00:09:33 --> 00:09:36 is close to neutral. It turns up in

00:09:36 --> 00:09:39 the mid latitudes around Tharsis

00:09:39 --> 00:09:42 Arabia Terra and Elysium Planitia,

00:09:42 --> 00:09:45 but on only 0.14% of the

00:09:45 --> 00:09:45 surface.

00:09:46 --> 00:09:49 Anna: So the Martian potato patch.

00:09:50 --> 00:09:53 Avery: Not quite. And the team is clear about that.

00:09:53 --> 00:09:56 These are candidate areas for closer study,

00:09:56 --> 00:09:59 not greenhouse sites. Nobody's going to plant

00:09:59 --> 00:10:01 crops straight into Martian dirt. Any habitat

00:10:01 --> 00:10:03 will need controlled environments, water,

00:10:04 --> 00:10:06 nutrients and treatment for harmful

00:10:06 --> 00:10:08 chemicals. In fact, the map doesn't yet

00:10:08 --> 00:10:11 include perchlorate, the toxic salt found

00:10:11 --> 00:10:14 across Mars, or nitrogen. And many of

00:10:14 --> 00:10:16 the Sol properties are inferred from orbit,

00:10:16 --> 00:10:19 so the classification will change as rovers

00:10:19 --> 00:10:20 measure more.

00:10:20 --> 00:10:23 Anna: What's the limiting factor for plants?

00:10:23 --> 00:10:25 Avery: Water holding capacity in

00:10:25 --> 00:10:28 73% of the forms they assessed.

00:10:28 --> 00:10:31 The next up is back on Earth, mixing Mars

00:10:31 --> 00:10:34 like substrates for the promising classes and

00:10:34 --> 00:10:35 growing crops in them under controlled

00:10:35 --> 00:10:36 conditions.

00:10:36 --> 00:10:39 Anna: And there's a payoff for Australia, too,

00:10:39 --> 00:10:40 there is.

00:10:40 --> 00:10:43 Avery: Martian soils have no organic matter,

00:10:43 --> 00:10:46 and McBratney points out that some of Earth's

00:10:46 --> 00:10:48 toughest arid soils have very little either.

00:10:49 --> 00:10:51 The work may help scientists think about

00:10:51 --> 00:10:53 places like the Pilbara and the Atacama

00:10:53 --> 00:10:56 differently. Mars as a lens on our own red

00:10:56 --> 00:10:57 dirt.

00:10:57 --> 00:11:00 Anna: Next, here's a discovery made almost

00:11:00 --> 00:11:02 by accident. The European Space

00:11:02 --> 00:11:05 Agency's Euclid telescope is built to map

00:11:05 --> 00:11:08 billions of galaxies so astronomers can study

00:11:08 --> 00:11:10 dark matter and dark energy. It is

00:11:10 --> 00:11:13 emphatically not a comet hunter. Yet

00:11:13 --> 00:11:15 ESA announced yesterday that Euclid has

00:11:15 --> 00:11:18 discovered its first previously unknown

00:11:18 --> 00:11:18 comet.

00:11:19 --> 00:11:22 Avery: How does a galaxy telescope trip over a

00:11:22 --> 00:11:22 comet?

00:11:23 --> 00:11:25 Anna: Through a, uh, PhD student and some clever

00:11:25 --> 00:11:28 software? Miko Poynton at the University

00:11:28 --> 00:11:31 of Helsinki wrote a programme to spot

00:11:31 --> 00:11:33 moving solar system objects in Euclid's

00:11:33 --> 00:11:36 images, mainly so they can be cleaned out of

00:11:36 --> 00:11:39 the galaxy data. In images taken between the

00:11:39 --> 00:11:42 16th and 24th of September, his software

00:11:42 --> 00:11:44 flagged a streak smeared across several

00:11:44 --> 00:11:47 frames. He tracked it into five image

00:11:47 --> 00:11:50 sets, 16 exposures in all, and found a

00:11:50 --> 00:11:52 fuzzy cloud around it. That's a, uh, coma.

00:11:52 --> 00:11:55 The sign of an active comet shedding dust and

00:11:55 --> 00:11:55 gas.

00:11:56 --> 00:11:57 Avery: And it checked out?

00:11:57 --> 00:12:00 Anna: No, no match in any catalogue. It was

00:12:00 --> 00:12:02 reported to the International Astronomical

00:12:02 --> 00:12:05 Union's Minor Planet Centre. Global ground

00:12:05 --> 00:12:07 based observers followed up and it was

00:12:07 --> 00:12:09 confirmed as a comet on 8th October.

00:12:09 --> 00:12:11 It's now officially C

00:12:12 --> 00:12:14 2026 S1 Euclid.

00:12:15 --> 00:12:15 Avery: Where is it?

00:12:16 --> 00:12:19 Anna: About 1.3 billion kilometres from Earth,

00:12:19 --> 00:12:21 roughly between the orbits of Jupiter and

00:12:21 --> 00:12:24 Saturn. But it isn't in the plane of

00:12:24 --> 00:12:26 the planets. From the sun's point of view,

00:12:26 --> 00:12:29 it's almost straight up on a steep orbit

00:12:29 --> 00:12:31 that takes thousands of years to complete.

00:12:32 --> 00:12:33 Avery: Why is that a lucky catch?

00:12:34 --> 00:12:36 Anna: Because Euclid deliberately avoids the band

00:12:36 --> 00:12:38 of sky along the plane of the solar system,

00:12:38 --> 00:12:40 where comets and asteroids are most common,

00:12:41 --> 00:12:43 since the dust there adds glare and it

00:12:43 --> 00:12:45 usually photographs each patch of sky only

00:12:45 --> 00:12:48 once. So a comet has to wander through the

00:12:48 --> 00:12:51 right field at the right time. Euclid archive

00:12:51 --> 00:12:54 scientist Bruno Altieri called it a happy

00:12:54 --> 00:12:54 coincidence.

00:12:55 --> 00:12:57 Avery: Any bigger significance?

00:12:57 --> 00:13:00 Anna: Two things. It was a real world test of how

00:13:00 --> 00:13:02 Euclid could alert ESA's future Comet

00:13:02 --> 00:13:04 Interceptor mission to a fresh target.

00:13:04 --> 00:13:06 Although this particular comet isn't a

00:13:06 --> 00:13:09 candidate and it's a nice reminder of

00:13:09 --> 00:13:12 something we often say on this catalogues are

00:13:12 --> 00:13:15 detection limits, not censuses. One honest

00:13:15 --> 00:13:17 note for southern listeners, it was found in

00:13:17 --> 00:13:19 Euclid's DEET field north, and it's far too

00:13:19 --> 00:13:21 faint to see without a big telescope.

00:13:21 --> 00:13:24 Avery: Uranus and Neptune are usually described

00:13:24 --> 00:13:27 as twins. Similar size, similar

00:13:27 --> 00:13:30 mass, both blue green ice giants.

00:13:31 --> 00:13:33 But a study in Astronomy and Astrophysics,

00:13:34 --> 00:13:36 published in its final form yesterday, argues

00:13:36 --> 00:13:39 their chemistry tells a different story.

00:13:39 --> 00:13:40 Anna: Who's behind it?

00:13:41 --> 00:13:44 Avery: Tom Briand at Aix Marseille University with

00:13:44 --> 00:13:46 Vincent Hu, Olivier Moussi of the Southwest

00:13:46 --> 00:13:49 Research Institute, Thibaut Cavalier and

00:13:49 --> 00:13:51 colleagues.1 Disclosure. The

00:13:51 --> 00:13:54 accepted version of the paper has been online

00:13:54 --> 00:13:56 since late August, so this is the journal

00:13:56 --> 00:13:57 publication rather than a

00:13:57 --> 00:14:00 Anna: brand new result, though, how do you

00:14:00 --> 00:14:03 measure what's deep inside a planet with no

00:14:03 --> 00:14:03 surface?

00:14:04 --> 00:14:06 Avery: Indirectly using carbon monoxide.

00:14:07 --> 00:14:09 Deep down, where it's hot. Carbon monoxide is

00:14:09 --> 00:14:12 created from methane and water. Strong

00:14:12 --> 00:14:15 vertical mixing carries it up to the upper

00:14:15 --> 00:14:17 atmosphere faster than it can be destroyed.

00:14:17 --> 00:14:20 So the amount we see up top acts as a

00:14:20 --> 00:14:23 tracer for the oxygen hidden far below.

00:14:23 --> 00:14:25 The team used measurements of that carbon

00:14:25 --> 00:14:28 monoxide, including from the ALMA array in

00:14:28 --> 00:14:30 Chile's Atacama Desert, and fed them into

00:14:30 --> 00:14:33 chemical models that now account for how

00:14:33 --> 00:14:35 conditions change with latitude.

00:14:35 --> 00:14:36 Anna: And the answer?

00:14:36 --> 00:14:39 Avery: Neptune's deep atmosphere looks much richer

00:14:39 --> 00:14:42 in oxygen. They estimate uranus at roughly

00:14:42 --> 00:14:44 50 to 180 times the sun's original

00:14:44 --> 00:14:47 proportion of oxygen, and neptune at about

00:14:47 --> 00:14:50 180 to 340. 40 times.

00:14:50 --> 00:14:52 That gives the two planets quite different

00:14:53 --> 00:14:54 carbon to oxygen ratios.

00:14:55 --> 00:14:57 Anna: And that points to where they formed.

00:14:57 --> 00:15:00 Avery: That's the argument in the disc that formed

00:15:00 --> 00:15:02 the planets. Different ices froze out at

00:15:02 --> 00:15:04 different distances from the young Sun.

00:15:04 --> 00:15:07 Compared against models of that disc,

00:15:07 --> 00:15:09 Neptune's chemistry suggests its building

00:15:09 --> 00:15:12 blocks came from closer in before it

00:15:12 --> 00:15:15 migrated outward. Muses line is that

00:15:15 --> 00:15:17 they're more like cousins with very different

00:15:17 --> 00:15:18 histories.

00:15:18 --> 00:15:19 Anna: How firm is it?

00:15:20 --> 00:15:23 Avery: It's a modelling result built on indirect

00:15:23 --> 00:15:23 measurements.

00:15:23 --> 00:15:26 And the ranges are wide. Especially for

00:15:26 --> 00:15:29 Uranus, the biggest uncertainty is how

00:15:29 --> 00:15:31 strongly each atmosphere mixes vertically.

00:15:32 --> 00:15:34 The team says plainly that without going into

00:15:34 --> 00:15:37 those atmospheres, our understanding is

00:15:37 --> 00:15:38 fundamentally limited.

00:15:39 --> 00:15:41 Anna: Which is a case for a probe.

00:15:42 --> 00:15:44 Avery: Exactly. The paper offers a framework for

00:15:44 --> 00:15:47 choosing the latitude where a future Uranus

00:15:47 --> 00:15:50 orbiter and probe should dive in. And since

00:15:50 --> 00:15:52 planets this size are common around other

00:15:52 --> 00:15:55 stars, getting our own two right matters well

00:15:55 --> 00:15:56 beyond the solar system.

00:15:57 --> 00:15:59 Anna: Time now for some quick hits, starting with

00:15:59 --> 00:16:02 an update to yesterday's episode. Japan's

00:16:02 --> 00:16:05 MMX mission to Mars moon Phobos is on

00:16:05 --> 00:16:07 its way. The H3 rocket lifted off from

00:16:07 --> 00:16:10 Tanegashima at 4:41 this morning. Japan time.

00:16:11 --> 00:16:14 About 71 minutes later, JAXA confirmed the

00:16:14 --> 00:16:16 spacecraft had separated and been placed on

00:16:16 --> 00:16:19 its planet path. JAXA then received signals

00:16:19 --> 00:16:21 from the spacecraft showing it's working

00:16:21 --> 00:16:24 normally. Next stop, Mars orbit next

00:16:24 --> 00:16:27 August and if all goes well, a capsule

00:16:27 --> 00:16:29 of Phobos landing in South Australia in

00:16:29 --> 00:16:30 2031.

00:16:32 --> 00:16:35 Avery: Next, the Roman Space Telescope, which keeps

00:16:35 --> 00:16:37 beating expectations. Last Wednesday, NASA

00:16:37 --> 00:16:39 reported the team has finished focusing it.

00:16:40 --> 00:16:42 They moved the secondary mirror by about 1/16

00:16:42 --> 00:16:45 of the width of a human hair. The wide field

00:16:45 --> 00:16:48 instrument's optics now show an error of just

00:16:48 --> 00:16:50 63 nanometers against a requirement of

00:16:50 --> 00:16:53 about 90. That's nearly 30% better than

00:16:53 --> 00:16:56 predicted. The coronagraph is in focus too.

00:16:56 --> 00:16:59 First Science images are still expected early

00:16:59 --> 00:17:00 next year.

00:17:00 --> 00:17:03 Anna: NASA has also published its detailed

00:17:03 --> 00:17:05 analysis of the Artemis II heat shield.

00:17:05 --> 00:17:08 After Artemis I, engineers found 103

00:17:08 --> 00:17:10 spots where charred material had broken away.

00:17:11 --> 00:17:14 Artemis II flying a shorter reentry Path

00:17:14 --> 00:17:16 had just nine. That's about a tenfold

00:17:16 --> 00:17:17 reduction.

00:17:17 --> 00:17:20 Artemis III will carry a reworked heat

00:17:20 --> 00:17:23 Avery: shield and keep an eye on ESA's Hera Mission.

00:17:23 --> 00:17:25 Its second braking burn, BRM2, is

00:17:25 --> 00:17:28 scheduled for this Thursday as it closes in

00:17:28 --> 00:17:30 on the Didymos asteroid pair. We'll bring you

00:17:30 --> 00:17:30 the result.

00:17:31 --> 00:17:34 Anna: Next up, let's go and take a look outside.

00:17:35 --> 00:17:37 Avery: Time for Skywatch. And this week the

00:17:37 --> 00:17:40 meteors win. The Orionid meteor shower

00:17:40 --> 00:17:43 peaks over the nights of the 21st and 22nd.

00:17:44 --> 00:17:46 These are crumbs of Hallie's Comet and they

00:17:46 --> 00:17:49 hit our atmosphere fast at about 66

00:17:49 --> 00:17:50 kilometres per second.

00:17:50 --> 00:17:52 Anna: But there's a waxing gibbous moon in

00:17:52 --> 00:17:55 Avery: the way there is, so timing

00:17:55 --> 00:17:57 matters. On Wednesday night into Thursday,

00:17:58 --> 00:18:00 the moon sets at about 3:38 in the morning in

00:18:00 --> 00:18:03 Sydney, 3:22 in Los Angeles,

00:18:03 --> 00:18:06 3:12 in New York and 2:49 in

00:18:06 --> 00:18:08 London. That leaves a dark window before

00:18:08 --> 00:18:11 dawn. From Sydney, astronomical dawn comes at

00:18:11 --> 00:18:13 about 4:37, so we get about an hour.

00:18:14 --> 00:18:16 Northern observers get longer. Two to three

00:18:16 --> 00:18:16 hours.

00:18:17 --> 00:18:19 Anna: And the radiant favours the north.

00:18:19 --> 00:18:22 Avery: It does. The radiant near

00:18:22 --> 00:18:25 Orion's raised club is about 440 degrees

00:18:25 --> 00:18:27 up from Sydney just before dawn, but

00:18:27 --> 00:18:30 54 degrees from London, 64 from New York

00:18:30 --> 00:18:33 and 71 from Los Angeles. A

00:18:33 --> 00:18:35 higher radiant means more meteors.

00:18:36 --> 00:18:38 Southern watchers look northeast before dawn

00:18:38 --> 00:18:40 and expect fewer, but they're still worth a

00:18:40 --> 00:18:43 look on Thursday night. The moon sets half an

00:18:43 --> 00:18:46 hour to an hour later, so the dark window

00:18:46 --> 00:18:46 shrinks.

00:18:47 --> 00:18:48 Anna: What else is up, huh?

00:18:48 --> 00:18:51 Avery: Southern skies get Mercury this week. On

00:18:51 --> 00:18:53 Wednesday at the end of civil Twilight, it's

00:18:53 --> 00:18:56 about 16 and a half degrees above the western

00:18:56 --> 00:18:58 horizon from Sydney, but uh, only four

00:18:58 --> 00:19:00 degrees from Los Angeles, two from New York

00:19:00 --> 00:19:03 and already set from London. It's fading.

00:19:03 --> 00:19:05 Anna: So catch it early this week and

00:19:06 --> 00:19:08 Venus disappears.

00:19:08 --> 00:19:10 Avery: It does. Venus reaches inferior

00:19:10 --> 00:19:13 conjunction around the 24th, passing between

00:19:13 --> 00:19:16 Earth and the sun. It'll be only about

00:19:16 --> 00:19:19 six and a half degrees from the sun, about 40

00:19:19 --> 00:19:22 million kilometres from us. So lost in the

00:19:22 --> 00:19:24 glare it'll come back as a morning object.

00:19:25 --> 00:19:27 Please don't hunt for it with binoculars or a

00:19:27 --> 00:19:30 telescope near the sun. Never point any

00:19:30 --> 00:19:32 optical instrument at or near the sun without

00:19:32 --> 00:19:35 a proper solar filter certified to ISO

00:19:35 --> 00:19:37 123122.

00:19:37 --> 00:19:39 Anna: Anything for the evening crowd?

00:19:39 --> 00:19:41 Avery: Saturn nicely placed around

00:19:42 --> 00:19:45 30 to 40 degrees up at 9pm in all four

00:19:45 --> 00:19:45 cities.

00:19:45 --> 00:19:48 On the 24th, the nearly full moon passes

00:19:48 --> 00:19:50 about 6 degrees from it.

00:19:50 --> 00:19:52 Anna: And the uh, pre dawn planets?

00:19:53 --> 00:19:55 Avery: That one belongs to the north. At nautical

00:19:55 --> 00:19:58 dawn on Thursday, Mars and Jupiter are about

00:19:58 --> 00:20:00 50 to 60 degrees up from the northern cities,

00:20:01 --> 00:20:04 but only about 21 to 24 from Sydney.

00:20:04 --> 00:20:06 They're 10 degrees apart now and closing to

00:20:06 --> 00:20:09 just over 1 degree by the 16th of November.

00:20:10 --> 00:20:11 Anna: And a clock warning.

00:20:12 --> 00:20:15 Avery: Yes, the UK goes back an hour this

00:20:15 --> 00:20:17 Sunday the 25th, but the US doesn't

00:20:17 --> 00:20:20 until the 1st of November. So for one

00:20:20 --> 00:20:23 week, London is only four hours ahead of New

00:20:23 --> 00:20:26 York and our London Times shift.

00:20:26 --> 00:20:27 Anna: And the full moon.

00:20:28 --> 00:20:31 Avery: The full moon arrives at 4:11 Universal Time

00:20:31 --> 00:20:32 on Monday the 26th.

00:20:32 --> 00:20:35 That's 3:11 in the afternoon in Sydney,

00:20:35 --> 00:20:37 4:11 in the morning in London after the clock

00:20:37 --> 00:20:40 change a few minutes past midnight in New

00:20:40 --> 00:20:43 York and 911 on Sunday evening in Los

00:20:43 --> 00:20:46 Angeles. So your calendar date depends on

00:20:46 --> 00:20:48 where you stand from either hemisphere. It'll

00:20:48 --> 00:20:50 look full on both nights.

00:20:51 --> 00:20:53 Anna: That's our show. A shrinking moon,

00:20:54 --> 00:20:57 a soil map for Mars, Euclid's

00:20:57 --> 00:20:59 accidental comet, and two ice giants

00:20:59 --> 00:21:01 that turn out to be cousins.

00:21:01 --> 00:21:04 Avery: Show notes and every source are at

00:21:04 --> 00:21:07 astronomydaily IO and if there's

00:21:07 --> 00:21:09 a story you'd like us to follow up, use the

00:21:09 --> 00:21:11 contact form there. Some of our favourite

00:21:11 --> 00:21:13 segments started that way.

00:21:13 --> 00:21:16 Anna: You can find us as astrodaily pod

00:21:16 --> 00:21:18 on social media. And if you enjoyed the show,

00:21:19 --> 00:21:21 a, uh, rating or review really helps new

00:21:21 --> 00:21:22 listeners find us.

00:21:22 --> 00:21:25 Avery: Tomorrow. We'll keep watch on the Orionids

00:21:25 --> 00:21:28 and on Hera's next breaking burn. I'm

00:21:28 --> 00:21:28 Avery.

00:21:29 --> 00:21:32 Anna: And I'm Anna. Clear skies. A

00:21:32 --> 00:21:32 star.

00:21:38 --> 00:21:38 Avery: Love.

00:21:43 --> 00:21:44 Story. Soul.