SpaceX Hit the Moon, and the Real Problem Is Just Beginning
Space Nuts: Exploring the CosmosAugust 27, 2026
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00:45:3941.84 MB

SpaceX Hit the Moon, and the Real Problem Is Just Beginning

Space Nuts: Moon impact, Roman Observatory launch, and Neptune’s odd moons
Andrew Dunkley is joined by Professor Jonti Horner, Professor of Astrophysics at the University of Southern Queensland, for a wide-ranging astronomy update. They cover SpaceX’s out-of-control rocket body hitting the Moon, the imminent launch of the Nancy Grace Roman Observatory, and a new result that may explain the strange origin of some of Neptune’s moons.
We discuss why lunar impacts matter far beyond the Moon itself, how Roman will study exoplanets and dark energy, and why clay minerals on Neptune’s small moons are such a big clue about a violent early solar system.
Key topics
SpaceX’s rocket body impacted the Moon after being left in a long, uncontrolled orbit
Why lunar impacts are a real concern for future habitats, infrastructure, and Apollo heritage sites
The sheer scale of human-made objects that have already hit or landed on the Moon
Elon Musk’s vision for lunar factories, rail-gun launches, and large-scale off-Earth manufacturing
Why the same company could end up both creating the risk and needing to solve it
The Nancy Grace Roman Observatory launching around 9 months ahead of schedule
Roman’s 2.4 metre mirror, 300 megapixel wide-field camera, and hydrazine-fueled journey to L2
How Roman will study dark energy, gravitational lensing, exoplanets, and free-floating planets
New James Webb observations of Neptune’s moons showing clay-type minerals on Larissa and Galatea
Why those clays suggest a much older, more violent system shaped by Triton’s capture and moon-to-moon collisions
Timestamps:
00:00 - Studio prep, muting phones, and getting ready to record
01:53 - Episode intro: SpaceX lunar impact, Roman Observatory, and Neptune moons
03:00 - Jonti Horner joins the show
04:26 - SpaceX rocket body crashes into the Moon
07:03 - Predicted impact plume and expected crater size
08:54 - Korean spacecraft Danuri captures post-impact images
10:19 - Why Moon impacts matter for future lunar bases
11:47 - Protecting Apollo landing sites and lunar archaeology
12:15 - More than 3,000 human-made objects have hit the Moon
14:32 - Law, responsibility, and the problem of cleanup beyond Earth
16:07 - Musk’s plans for Moon factories and Starlink-style expansion
18:12 - Rail guns, Optimus robots, and scaling lunar industry
19:34 - SpaceX’s own industry could be threatened by its own debris
21:24 - Balancing commercial benefits and environmental costs
23:46 - The Nancy Grace Roman Observatory launch approaches
26:03 - Roman’s orbit, hydrazine fuel, and five-year mission plan
27:57 - From WFIRST to Roman: how the telescope evolved
29:23 - Roman’s mirror, 300 megapixel camera, and survey power
30:14 - Exoplanets, microlensing, and the coronagraph
33:29 - Roman’s launch status and the excitement ahead
34:17 - Neptune’s moons and the role of Triton

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00:00:00 --> 00:00:00 Jonti Horner: Hi there.

00:00:00 --> 00:00:02 Andrew Dunkley: Thanks for joining us. My name is Andrew

00:00:02 --> 00:00:05 Dunkley. This is Space Nuts, uh, where we

00:00:05 --> 00:00:08 talk astronomy and space science. And coming

00:00:08 --> 00:00:11 up on Today's programme, uh, SpaceX

00:00:11 --> 00:00:14 in the news, you could say

00:00:14 --> 00:00:16 for all the wrong reasons, but, um, that's

00:00:16 --> 00:00:18 debatable, depending on which part of this

00:00:18 --> 00:00:21 storey that, um, you're talking about. But,

00:00:21 --> 00:00:24 uh, they've hit the moon. Uh, not in a good

00:00:24 --> 00:00:26 way. Uh, we'll also be looking at the

00:00:26 --> 00:00:29 upcoming launch of the Nancy Grace

00:00:29 --> 00:00:32 Roman Observatory. Uh, we've received a lot

00:00:32 --> 00:00:33 of questions from the audience about that,

00:00:33 --> 00:00:36 uh, in recent times and with good reason.

00:00:36 --> 00:00:39 It's a very exciting mission indeed and

00:00:39 --> 00:00:41 if time allows us, we'll, uh, look into a new

00:00:41 --> 00:00:44 study about Neptune's moons. Stick with

00:00:44 --> 00:00:47 us. That's all coming up on this edition of

00:00:47 --> 00:00:49 Space Nuts. 15 seconds.

00:00:49 --> 00:00:51 Jonti Horner: Guidance is internal. 10,

00:00:51 --> 00:00:52 9.

00:00:53 --> 00:00:54 Andrew Dunkley: Ignition sequence start.

00:00:54 --> 00:00:57 Jonti Horner: Space Nuts. 5, 4, 3, 2.

00:00:57 --> 00:01:00 Andrew Dunkley: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 5, 4, 3, 2,

00:01:00 --> 00:01:03 1. Space Nuts astronauts report at

00:01:03 --> 00:01:06 Beale. And joining us to, uh, furnish us

00:01:06 --> 00:01:08 with all his knowledge, which will only take

00:01:08 --> 00:01:10 a couple of minutes. No, no, it's not. It'll

00:01:10 --> 00:01:12 take probably a lot longer than that is

00:01:12 --> 00:01:14 Professor Jonty Horner, professor of

00:01:14 --> 00:01:16 Astrophysics at the University of Southern

00:01:16 --> 00:01:17 Queensland. Jonty, hello.

00:01:18 --> 00:01:19 Jonti Horner: Good afternoon. How are you going?

00:01:19 --> 00:01:22 Andrew Dunkley: Uh, good. You should feel good too, because

00:01:22 --> 00:01:24 it's only when I get to like people that I

00:01:24 --> 00:01:25 insult them like that.

00:01:25 --> 00:01:27 Jonti Horner: It's fine. It's just like growing up in

00:01:27 --> 00:01:30 Yorkshire again. It seems to be a

00:01:30 --> 00:01:31 recurring theme with kind of the better parts

00:01:31 --> 00:01:33 of the world is that the more you get on with

00:01:33 --> 00:01:36 people, the more offensively you critic. And,

00:01:36 --> 00:01:39 you know, the

00:01:39 --> 00:01:41 inverse of that being that the less you like

00:01:41 --> 00:01:42 people, the more polite you get. Which

00:01:42 --> 00:01:45 reminds me of Pratchett's almost version of

00:01:45 --> 00:01:47 the Montagues and Capulets with the old

00:01:48 --> 00:01:50 warring aristocracy who'd now got to such a

00:01:51 --> 00:01:53 level of dissatisfaction with one another

00:01:53 --> 00:01:55 that the only polite forms of conversation

00:01:55 --> 00:01:56 were about the weather. And that was it. So

00:01:56 --> 00:01:58 they have these meetings at formal events.

00:01:58 --> 00:02:00 It's like, oh, the weather today is

00:02:00 --> 00:02:02 beautiful, isn't it? M well, you know. Oh,

00:02:02 --> 00:02:03 yes, yes, but you're not.

00:02:04 --> 00:02:07 Andrew Dunkley: Yes, that kind of thing. M. Uh,

00:02:07 --> 00:02:09 we've got a lot to get through and, uh, very

00:02:09 --> 00:02:11 little time to do it, but we will manage as

00:02:11 --> 00:02:12 best we can.

00:02:12 --> 00:02:14 And this, uh, first storey is a bit of a

00:02:14 --> 00:02:17 combo. Two lunar based

00:02:17 --> 00:02:20 storeys and depending on where you sit

00:02:20 --> 00:02:22 on the spectrum of should we or should we

00:02:22 --> 00:02:25 not, um, they could both be considered bad or

00:02:25 --> 00:02:28 one could be sort of considered Good.

00:02:28 --> 00:02:31 Depending on. Yeah, perspective. But,

00:02:31 --> 00:02:34 uh, it's involving SpaceX and, uh, the

00:02:34 --> 00:02:36 recent collision, if you want to call it

00:02:36 --> 00:02:39 that, between a SpaceX rocket body and

00:02:39 --> 00:02:41 the lunar surface, uh, which,

00:02:42 --> 00:02:43 uh, happened not so long ago.

00:02:44 --> 00:02:45 Jonti Horner: Absolutely. I mean, as we're recording this,

00:02:45 --> 00:02:47 it was very, very recent. Very, very.

00:02:47 --> 00:02:50 Listening to this, it's slightly in the

00:02:50 --> 00:02:51 future. And for that reason we didn't talk

00:02:51 --> 00:02:53 about this last time, because last time we

00:02:53 --> 00:02:55 were recording in advance of this happening,

00:02:55 --> 00:02:57 but the broadcast would have gone out after

00:02:57 --> 00:02:58 it happened, which would have been very

00:02:58 --> 00:03:01 bizarre. Now we're recording after the

00:03:01 --> 00:03:02 event and you're hearing after the event, so

00:03:02 --> 00:03:05 at least the time flow is in an appropriate

00:03:05 --> 00:03:05 order.

00:03:06 --> 00:03:09 The storey here is basically

00:03:09 --> 00:03:11 one of celestial littering, which is a

00:03:11 --> 00:03:14 recurring theme. We've got this ongoing

00:03:14 --> 00:03:17 discussion in the past of what goes up, must

00:03:17 --> 00:03:19 come down, and the ongoing issue

00:03:19 --> 00:03:22 with the commercialization of space leading

00:03:22 --> 00:03:24 to a lot of things being launched. And the

00:03:24 --> 00:03:26 vast majority of those things that are

00:03:26 --> 00:03:29 launched return to Earth in a fiery blaze of

00:03:29 --> 00:03:31 glory. We see space junk more and more often

00:03:31 --> 00:03:33 in our skies, but on Earth,

00:03:34 --> 00:03:36 the concerns are primarily about the

00:03:36 --> 00:03:37 atmosphere with the stuff coming back. And

00:03:37 --> 00:03:39 we've talked a lot in the past about the

00:03:39 --> 00:03:41 worries atmospheric scientists have about

00:03:42 --> 00:03:43 dumping all these metals into the upper

00:03:43 --> 00:03:46 atmosphere and what it'll mean. But very

00:03:46 --> 00:03:49 rarely do pieces of space junk make it to the

00:03:49 --> 00:03:51 Earth's surface. And, um, that's because

00:03:51 --> 00:03:52 we've got an atmosphere. The atmosphere is

00:03:52 --> 00:03:54 brilliant and protects the surface of the

00:03:54 --> 00:03:56 Earth from all but the biggest bits of space

00:03:56 --> 00:03:58 junk. Making it down to Earth.

00:03:58 --> 00:03:58 Andrew Dunkley: Yep.

00:03:59 --> 00:04:01 Jonti Horner: Despite that, there is enough concern that

00:04:01 --> 00:04:03 people are, ah, doing things like calculating

00:04:03 --> 00:04:05 the odds for insurance companies of how

00:04:05 --> 00:04:07 likely it is that someone on Earth will die

00:04:07 --> 00:04:09 due to space junkie in the next decade,

00:04:09 --> 00:04:12 things like this. So it's not a null

00:04:12 --> 00:04:14 concern for people on the surface of Earth,

00:04:14 --> 00:04:16 but the odds of something crashing into

00:04:16 --> 00:04:18 Earth's surface, that is something we put up

00:04:18 --> 00:04:20 into orbit, are usually fairly low because

00:04:20 --> 00:04:23 most of it goes away in the atmosphere,

00:04:23 --> 00:04:25 ablates. It doesn't burn up. I'm always

00:04:25 --> 00:04:27 cautious of using the phrasing burn up

00:04:27 --> 00:04:30 because that evokes fire and fire requires

00:04:30 --> 00:04:32 oxygen and it's a chemical reaction. This is

00:04:32 --> 00:04:34 ablation because the air gets superheated and

00:04:34 --> 00:04:37 bakes away the material. But effectively,

00:04:37 --> 00:04:39 colloquially, you'd say this all burns up.

00:04:40 --> 00:04:43 The Earth, though, isn't the only thing out

00:04:43 --> 00:04:46 there that's in the firing line and this

00:04:46 --> 00:04:48 is where this storey comes in. So a while

00:04:48 --> 00:04:51 back, SpaceX launched a couple of

00:04:51 --> 00:04:53 things to head to the Moon. And in order

00:04:53 --> 00:04:55 to do that, they had to boost their rocket to

00:04:55 --> 00:04:57 a higher speed than they normally would do,

00:04:57 --> 00:04:59 which meant that the upper stage of this

00:04:59 --> 00:05:01 rocket went onto a very elongated orbit

00:05:01 --> 00:05:03 around the Earth, uh uh, and then essentially

00:05:03 --> 00:05:06 goes into free fall. It has burned all its

00:05:06 --> 00:05:08 fuel. It is, to all intents and purposes, out

00:05:08 --> 00:05:10 of control. And that means its orbit just

00:05:10 --> 00:05:12 evolves under the gravity of the Earth and

00:05:12 --> 00:05:15 the Moon and the vagaries of the environment

00:05:15 --> 00:05:18 around the Earth. Fast forward to

00:05:18 --> 00:05:20 now and that out of control rocket body

00:05:20 --> 00:05:23 crashed into the Moon. Now, the final

00:05:24 --> 00:05:27 collision was predicted in advance. This was

00:05:27 --> 00:05:29 big news for at least a week beforehand,

00:05:30 --> 00:05:32 and it was estimated roughly where the thing

00:05:32 --> 00:05:34 would hit the Moon. Now you're talking hit

00:05:34 --> 00:05:36 about a fairly hefty chunk of material.

00:05:36 --> 00:05:39 You're talking about, you know, a couple of

00:05:39 --> 00:05:42 thousand kilos, if not more, a fairly big

00:05:42 --> 00:05:45 chunk of material crashing into the Moon's

00:05:45 --> 00:05:48 surface at a speed of a few kilometres per

00:05:48 --> 00:05:51 second. And so the predictions were that

00:05:51 --> 00:05:53 when this hit in the location it hit,

00:05:53 --> 00:05:56 it would dig out a crater maybe 20, 25 metres

00:05:56 --> 00:05:59 across, and kick a load of dust and material

00:05:59 --> 00:06:01 up. It will create a plume that would rise

00:06:01 --> 00:06:03 above the Moon's limb, probably rise as high

00:06:03 --> 00:06:05 as 100 kilometres or so, and slowly fall back

00:06:05 --> 00:06:06 to the surf of the Moon.

00:06:08 --> 00:06:10 The time at which impact was going to happen

00:06:10 --> 00:06:13 was predicted, so astronomers on the part of

00:06:13 --> 00:06:14 the Earth that could see the Moon were

00:06:14 --> 00:06:17 watching to see what happened. Albert,

00:06:17 --> 00:06:19 to be fair, it was predicted that for most

00:06:19 --> 00:06:21 people you would see absolutely nothing. This

00:06:21 --> 00:06:22 thing was going to hit on the daylight side

00:06:22 --> 00:06:25 of the Moon and so reflected sunlight would

00:06:25 --> 00:06:27 obscure pretty much everything.

00:06:28 --> 00:06:31 So people looked, didn't really see anything.

00:06:31 --> 00:06:33 The only really, I think,

00:06:34 --> 00:06:36 strong indication that something was seen

00:06:36 --> 00:06:38 from the ground were a group of people

00:06:38 --> 00:06:40 observing from the Lowell Observatory in the

00:06:40 --> 00:06:42 US who were looking

00:06:43 --> 00:06:46 specifically at very specific wavelengths of

00:06:46 --> 00:06:48 light for sodium ions and lithium ions.

00:06:49 --> 00:06:51 And they saw what appeared to be an impact

00:06:51 --> 00:06:54 plume at the right location at the right

00:06:54 --> 00:06:56 time, kind of confirming that the impact

00:06:56 --> 00:06:57 happened.

00:06:57 --> 00:06:57 Andrew Dunkley: Yeah.

00:06:58 --> 00:07:00 Jonti Horner: Then after the event, the first images came

00:07:00 --> 00:07:02 back of the site that was hit. And those

00:07:02 --> 00:07:05 images came back from a Korean

00:07:05 --> 00:07:08 spacecraft, um, South Korea's first ever

00:07:08 --> 00:07:10 lunar spacecraft, that was launched back in

00:07:10 --> 00:07:12 2022, actually in August

00:07:12 --> 00:07:15 2022 has been floating around, minding its

00:07:15 --> 00:07:17 own business, doing work and pretty much

00:07:17 --> 00:07:19 widely being forgotten. I don't remember ever

00:07:19 --> 00:07:20 talking about this spacecraft before, even

00:07:20 --> 00:07:23 though me. It's a great. Yeah, even though

00:07:23 --> 00:07:25 it's a great achievement that the Koreans got

00:07:25 --> 00:07:26 it into lunar orbit and have been doing great

00:07:26 --> 00:07:27 stuff with it.

00:07:27 --> 00:07:27 Andrew Dunkley: Yeah.

00:07:27 --> 00:07:30 Jonti Horner: But this spacecraft, Dunuri, flew

00:07:30 --> 00:07:33 repeatedly over the area where the impact was

00:07:33 --> 00:07:35 going. And the

00:07:35 --> 00:07:38 Korean, um, Aerospace Research Institute

00:07:38 --> 00:07:41 Carri released an announcement that said,

00:07:41 --> 00:07:44 and I'm quoting here, Dhanuri began

00:07:44 --> 00:07:45 observations about 30 minutes before the

00:07:45 --> 00:07:47 collision and um, through orbit control

00:07:48 --> 00:07:50 passed over the impact site multiple times,

00:07:50 --> 00:07:52 conducting a total of eight imaging

00:07:52 --> 00:07:55 sessions. Through this observation, changes

00:07:55 --> 00:07:57 in the terrain around the impact site and

00:07:57 --> 00:08:00 traces of ejecta spread were confirmed. The

00:08:00 --> 00:08:02 spacecraft secured both pre collision and

00:08:02 --> 00:08:04 immediate post collision footage, enabling

00:08:04 --> 00:08:06 analysis of the changes. Changes, uh, that

00:08:06 --> 00:08:08 have happened. So there are now images only

00:08:08 --> 00:08:10 looks like a little black smudge, but to be

00:08:10 --> 00:08:13 fair, this is an area maybe 20 or 25 metres

00:08:13 --> 00:08:15 across. It's pretty impressive that we can

00:08:15 --> 00:08:18 get images that resolve that impact feature

00:08:18 --> 00:08:21 on the surface of the moon. And I think that

00:08:21 --> 00:08:24 in itself is going to be pretty important

00:08:24 --> 00:08:26 for researchers studying how craters form,

00:08:26 --> 00:08:29 how the lunar impact kind of scenarios

00:08:29 --> 00:08:31 happen. When you're hitting an object with

00:08:31 --> 00:08:34 the regolith, like the moon without an

00:08:34 --> 00:08:36 atmosphere to protect it, all this kind of

00:08:36 --> 00:08:38 stuff's pretty important. But it's doubly

00:08:38 --> 00:08:40 important in the context of our future use of

00:08:40 --> 00:08:42 the moon. You know, NASA have got these plans

00:08:42 --> 00:08:44 to put astronauts in a permanent lunar base

00:08:44 --> 00:08:46 at the South Pole. I know China have

00:08:46 --> 00:08:49 expressed similar aspirations. Elon Musk is

00:08:49 --> 00:08:51 looking at building a lunar industry, which

00:08:51 --> 00:08:54 we'll come to in a minute. Yeah. Ah, if

00:08:54 --> 00:08:56 you're wanting to have permanent presence on

00:08:56 --> 00:08:57 the moon, and particularly permanent human

00:08:57 --> 00:09:00 presence, you need to have a fairly good

00:09:00 --> 00:09:01 understanding of what's going to happen when

00:09:01 --> 00:09:04 impacts happen. You would have also thought

00:09:04 --> 00:09:06 though that you'd like to prevent impacts

00:09:06 --> 00:09:07 from happening, particularly impacts from

00:09:07 --> 00:09:09 things that are out of control. Because if

00:09:09 --> 00:09:10 this thing had come into the Earth's

00:09:10 --> 00:09:13 atmosphere, pretty much all of it would have

00:09:13 --> 00:09:15 ablated. You wouldn't have had to worry on

00:09:15 --> 00:09:17 the ground. On the Moon though,

00:09:18 --> 00:09:21 it makes it to the surface intact. That

00:09:21 --> 00:09:24 size of that impact scar, 25, 27 metres

00:09:24 --> 00:09:27 across, sounds to me very much like the size

00:09:27 --> 00:09:29 of a lunar habitat that you'd build. And the

00:09:29 --> 00:09:31 last thing I would want is to send astronauts

00:09:31 --> 00:09:33 up to the moon and then have a bit of a

00:09:33 --> 00:09:36 discarded rocket crash in and wipe out the

00:09:36 --> 00:09:38 habitat and kill them. Doesn't sound like a

00:09:38 --> 00:09:41 good idea. Not just that it's raised

00:09:41 --> 00:09:43 concerns not only about our kind of future

00:09:43 --> 00:09:44 presence on the moon, but about the

00:09:44 --> 00:09:46 preservation of our archaeological sites on

00:09:46 --> 00:09:49 the moon. We've talked about the incredible

00:09:49 --> 00:09:51 work of Professor Alice Gorman in Adelaide,

00:09:51 --> 00:09:54 who talks about space archaeology and has

00:09:54 --> 00:09:56 Been trying to raise awareness of the

00:09:56 --> 00:09:58 cultural impact of places like the Apollo 11

00:09:58 --> 00:10:00 landing site, where we've got this pristine

00:10:00 --> 00:10:02 record of humanity's first steps on the moon.

00:10:03 --> 00:10:05 And it'd be tragic if something like this

00:10:05 --> 00:10:07 happened and crashed into that. Yeah, it's

00:10:07 --> 00:10:10 really caused a lot of discussion about

00:10:10 --> 00:10:13 what's going on, what we should do about it.

00:10:13 --> 00:10:15 And I don't know that it's a particularly

00:10:15 --> 00:10:17 good look for SpaceX that this has happened,

00:10:17 --> 00:10:18 but it should be stressed that they are far,

00:10:18 --> 00:10:21 uh, from alone. I saw listed on a

00:10:21 --> 00:10:24 BBC article at the time of the

00:10:24 --> 00:10:26 impact detailed some of the other things that

00:10:26 --> 00:10:29 have hit the moon and they reckon that

00:10:30 --> 00:10:33 more than 3 human made objects have

00:10:33 --> 00:10:35 now either landed on or impacted the moon.

00:10:35 --> 00:10:36 Andrew Dunkley: Really? 3?

00:10:36 --> 00:10:38 Jonti Horner: 3 or more.

00:10:38 --> 00:10:40 Andrew Dunkley: I would never have guessed that many.

00:10:40 --> 00:10:42 Jonti Horner: It's astonishing. And that's a total of more

00:10:42 --> 00:10:44 than 190 tonnes of material. Now

00:10:45 --> 00:10:47 some of that landed softly. You know, we

00:10:47 --> 00:10:49 talked about Apollo 11 for example. The lunar

00:10:49 --> 00:10:52 landers from many nations, many nations have

00:10:52 --> 00:10:54 now landed on the moon. We've got crash

00:10:54 --> 00:10:56 landings like the Israeli mission that

00:10:56 --> 00:10:58 spattered tardigrades across the moon because

00:10:58 --> 00:11:00 they could. Which still strikes me as one of

00:11:00 --> 00:11:02 the dumbest space missions ever carried out.

00:11:03 --> 00:11:05 You know, from an astrobiology point of view,

00:11:05 --> 00:11:06 we want to go to places and look for evidence

00:11:06 --> 00:11:08 of life. The last thing you want to do is

00:11:08 --> 00:11:10 smear it over the face of the moon. Hey look,

00:11:10 --> 00:11:12 we've put life there anyway. That's an

00:11:12 --> 00:11:14 entirely other topic. But there's this long

00:11:14 --> 00:11:17 history of things hitting the moon in a both

00:11:17 --> 00:11:19 controlled and uncontrolled fashion. And it's

00:11:19 --> 00:11:21 going to happen more and more the more we put

00:11:21 --> 00:11:22 stuff out there.

00:11:22 --> 00:11:23 Andrew Dunkley: Yep.

00:11:23 --> 00:11:26 Jonti Horner: So it's caused a lot of discussion. It is

00:11:26 --> 00:11:29 really, really interesting. But it does shine

00:11:29 --> 00:11:31 a light on the risk for future missions more

00:11:31 --> 00:11:32 than anything else.

00:11:32 --> 00:11:34 Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, it does. Um,

00:11:34 --> 00:11:36 notwithstanding that, there is,

00:11:37 --> 00:11:40 um, an international law in place that you're

00:11:40 --> 00:11:42 responsible for cleaning up your own mess.

00:11:42 --> 00:11:45 But, um, when things get out of control

00:11:45 --> 00:11:47 or fly off in directions that make them

00:11:47 --> 00:11:50 irretrievable, what can you do

00:11:50 --> 00:11:51 about it?

00:11:51 --> 00:11:54 Jonti Horner: Absolutely. And I would be very interested to

00:11:54 --> 00:11:56 see whether any applications of that law

00:11:57 --> 00:11:59 apply to things beyond the Earth's

00:11:59 --> 00:12:01 atmosphere, because that

00:12:01 --> 00:12:04 gets enforced when you look at people

00:12:04 --> 00:12:06 cleaning up things on Earth. So there was a

00:12:06 --> 00:12:09 storey a few years ago about some SpaceX

00:12:09 --> 00:12:12 rocket parts, um, in the snowy

00:12:12 --> 00:12:14 mountains in Australia and SpaceX in theory

00:12:14 --> 00:12:17 had to come and collect them and there was a

00:12:17 --> 00:12:19 little bit of a lag in that happening.

00:12:19 --> 00:12:20 Similarly, when There was a fragmentation of

00:12:20 --> 00:12:23 one of their big starship test launchers that

00:12:23 --> 00:12:25 uh, dropped debris around the Caribbean.

00:12:25 --> 00:12:27 There was a lot of controversy about whether

00:12:27 --> 00:12:28 they were actually bothering to collect stuff

00:12:28 --> 00:12:29 or not.

00:12:29 --> 00:12:32 Andrew Dunkley: There is a faster way. It's called ebay.

00:12:32 --> 00:12:33 Jonti Horner: Oh absolutely.

00:12:36 --> 00:12:38 This is kind of an ongoing thing and I'm not

00:12:38 --> 00:12:41 sure that once again legislation has kept

00:12:41 --> 00:12:44 up with our use. We were talking about this

00:12:44 --> 00:12:46 last week with satellites I think, and with

00:12:46 --> 00:12:49 the FAA and FCC approving things but making

00:12:49 --> 00:12:51 it very clear that they weren't there to

00:12:51 --> 00:12:53 judge on whether the use of space was

00:12:53 --> 00:12:54 sensible. They were just ruling on their

00:12:54 --> 00:12:57 small area of influence and abrogating other

00:12:57 --> 00:12:58 responsibility.

00:12:58 --> 00:13:00 I don't think we have yet any real

00:13:01 --> 00:13:04 global pathway to improving things and

00:13:04 --> 00:13:06 getting a better handle on what we should and

00:13:06 --> 00:13:08 shouldn't do. But the discussions are

00:13:08 --> 00:13:10 happening and every time something like this

00:13:10 --> 00:13:12 comes along it further prompts those

00:13:12 --> 00:13:14 discussions and raises awareness of the

00:13:14 --> 00:13:15 problem, I guess.

00:13:15 --> 00:13:18 Andrew Dunkley: Yes. And uh, once people are

00:13:18 --> 00:13:20 up there in a permanent or semi permanent

00:13:20 --> 00:13:23 situation, that's when you've really

00:13:23 --> 00:13:25 got to start thinking about these kinds of

00:13:25 --> 00:13:27 problems. Hitting the moon at the moment is

00:13:27 --> 00:13:30 um, it is a risk for

00:13:30 --> 00:13:33 existing infrastructure and historical sites.

00:13:33 --> 00:13:35 But the day will come where people are there

00:13:35 --> 00:13:38 and that creates a whole new ball game. So.

00:13:38 --> 00:13:40 Jonti Horner: And industry will be there. Which brings us

00:13:40 --> 00:13:42 to the second half of this storey.

00:13:42 --> 00:13:44 Andrew Dunkley: Well, let's, let's get into that because this

00:13:44 --> 00:13:47 also involves SpaceX and

00:13:47 --> 00:13:50 Elon's big plan is to put a,

00:13:50 --> 00:13:53 um, uh, manufacturing plant on

00:13:53 --> 00:13:55 the moon to build uh, his

00:13:55 --> 00:13:58 starmind AI satellite array.

00:13:59 --> 00:14:02 Uh, and it looks like that this will be a

00:14:02 --> 00:14:04 fully automated system. They'll manufacture

00:14:04 --> 00:14:07 these things and launch them from the moon.

00:14:07 --> 00:14:10 And we're talking like, I don't

00:14:10 --> 00:14:12 know, M. Is it a million of these things?

00:14:12 --> 00:14:13 Jonti Horner: That's what it wants to do.

00:14:14 --> 00:14:16 Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, that's. I mean this is the stuff of

00:14:16 --> 00:14:19 science fiction, but it's rapidly becoming

00:14:19 --> 00:14:20 something real, isn't it?

00:14:21 --> 00:14:23 Jonti Horner: It is. And I mean we've discussed the light

00:14:23 --> 00:14:25 pollution side of this repeatedly on the

00:14:25 --> 00:14:28 show, both myself and Fred Watson. This

00:14:28 --> 00:14:31 StarMind idea is the idea that

00:14:31 --> 00:14:34 they will launch essentially data centres and

00:14:34 --> 00:14:36 AI centres into Earth orbit to farm

00:14:36 --> 00:14:38 solar energy and you'll have these

00:14:40 --> 00:14:42 heavily computing based satellites with

00:14:42 --> 00:14:45 enormous solar panels probably at a

00:14:45 --> 00:14:47 relatively high altitude above the Earth so

00:14:47 --> 00:14:50 that they can get permanent sunshine, which I

00:14:50 --> 00:14:51 know a number of reports over the last few

00:14:51 --> 00:14:54 months since this has talked about have

00:14:54 --> 00:14:56 spoken about how this will give a visible

00:14:56 --> 00:14:58 ring in the night sky that'll be visible

00:14:58 --> 00:15:01 all night from all locations on the Earth.

00:15:01 --> 00:15:03 And it'll be like living with a

00:15:03 --> 00:15:06 narrow, very thin ring, a bit like Saturn's

00:15:06 --> 00:15:08 rings, but just a single ring rather than

00:15:08 --> 00:15:11 really broad one. Lots of concern,

00:15:11 --> 00:15:14 lots of speculation about that. This

00:15:14 --> 00:15:16 storey relates to one of the

00:15:17 --> 00:15:19 quarterly calls that

00:15:19 --> 00:15:21 SpaceX are having. This is apparently the

00:15:21 --> 00:15:23 first ever, but they're going to happen every

00:15:23 --> 00:15:25 quarter and it's probably something that's

00:15:25 --> 00:15:27 followed on from the listing of SpaceX on the

00:15:27 --> 00:15:29 stock exchange and that where

00:15:30 --> 00:15:33 Musk talks to the investors. And um, this

00:15:33 --> 00:15:35 call was on the 4th of August, just under a

00:15:35 --> 00:15:37 week ago for me, but by the time you hear

00:15:37 --> 00:15:40 this three weeks ago. And in

00:15:40 --> 00:15:43 that call, Musk talked widely about

00:15:43 --> 00:15:46 his dreams to put factories on the

00:15:46 --> 00:15:47 moon. This is something he's talked about

00:15:47 --> 00:15:50 before, so it's not utterly new, but he's

00:15:50 --> 00:15:52 given more detail of what they want. He

00:15:52 --> 00:15:54 talks about landing a huge amount of tonnage

00:15:54 --> 00:15:57 on the moon to build factories. The factories

00:15:57 --> 00:16:00 will use robots akin to the Optimus robots

00:16:00 --> 00:16:02 that they use in the, um, Tesla car

00:16:02 --> 00:16:04 manufacturers, I think. And he's already

00:16:04 --> 00:16:06 talking about sending some of those Optimus

00:16:06 --> 00:16:09 robots to Mars. He wants to use

00:16:09 --> 00:16:12 the moon to build these starmind

00:16:12 --> 00:16:14 AI satellites which he'll then launch with

00:16:14 --> 00:16:17 giant rail guns using the obs abundant solar

00:16:17 --> 00:16:19 power you can generate on the moon, building

00:16:19 --> 00:16:21 a really, really, really long track with a

00:16:21 --> 00:16:24 kink at the end where you can accelerate

00:16:24 --> 00:16:26 using magnets, something to launch

00:16:27 --> 00:16:28 speed. And this is again something that's

00:16:28 --> 00:16:30 featured heavily in science fiction over the

00:16:30 --> 00:16:32 years as a method for launching things from

00:16:33 --> 00:16:35 bodies without an atmosphere. All makes

00:16:35 --> 00:16:38 sense, but the idea he's got is

00:16:38 --> 00:16:41 that, uh, by going onto the moon, he can

00:16:41 --> 00:16:44 scale up manufacturing to get to being a

00:16:44 --> 00:16:47 factor of a thousand and a factor of

00:16:47 --> 00:16:49 a million times more than he has on Earth.

00:16:50 --> 00:16:53 So a huge, vast expansion in their

00:16:53 --> 00:16:56 building capacity. And it's a kind

00:16:56 --> 00:16:59 of thing that, huh, many people might poo

00:16:59 --> 00:17:00 poo, but I think if we were talking a decade

00:17:00 --> 00:17:02 ago, people would have been poo pooing the

00:17:02 --> 00:17:04 idea of Starlink. And he's been very

00:17:04 --> 00:17:06 successful getting that off the ground and up

00:17:06 --> 00:17:09 and running. So I wouldn't rule this out. And

00:17:09 --> 00:17:11 long term we are seeing the dawn

00:17:11 --> 00:17:13 of the commercial use of space and the

00:17:13 --> 00:17:15 commercial exploitation of the moon and

00:17:15 --> 00:17:18 asteroids is sure to follow. So it wouldn't

00:17:18 --> 00:17:19 surprise me if other companies are having

00:17:19 --> 00:17:21 similar ideas and it may maybe that SpaceX

00:17:22 --> 00:17:24 are the first but not the only ones to do

00:17:24 --> 00:17:27 this if it happens. What I

00:17:27 --> 00:17:30 found interesting about this is this storey's

00:17:30 --> 00:17:32 going round at exactly the same time that

00:17:32 --> 00:17:34 we're talking about the uncontrolled crash of

00:17:34 --> 00:17:37 the SpaceX rocket to the moon. Which means

00:17:37 --> 00:17:40 you've got this almost a conflict of interest

00:17:40 --> 00:17:43 for SpaceX here because on the one hand

00:17:43 --> 00:17:45 they want to be able to launch their rockets.

00:17:45 --> 00:17:46 They've got to get that tonnage into space,

00:17:46 --> 00:17:48 as Musk says. And if they're launching things

00:17:48 --> 00:17:51 to the moon, that'll leave a lot of rocket

00:17:51 --> 00:17:52 bodies on orbits that could event actually

00:17:52 --> 00:17:55 impact the moon and they're out of control.

00:17:55 --> 00:17:57 Yet at the same time he's looking at building

00:17:57 --> 00:18:00 capacity for manufacturing on the surface of

00:18:00 --> 00:18:03 the moon. Now that strikes me that on the

00:18:03 --> 00:18:05 one hand he's increasing the risk that his

00:18:06 --> 00:18:08 industry will be damaged by his own industry,

00:18:08 --> 00:18:10 if that makes sense. Oh yeah, there's always

00:18:10 --> 00:18:12 a possibility that one of his rockets will

00:18:12 --> 00:18:14 crash into one of his factories. So it may

00:18:14 --> 00:18:17 well be that that leads to a certain amount

00:18:17 --> 00:18:19 of self interest in looking at ways to manage

00:18:19 --> 00:18:21 it that the outcry of astronomers wouldn't.

00:18:22 --> 00:18:25 It's a lot more impelling for

00:18:25 --> 00:18:27 a company like SpaceX to want to find a

00:18:27 --> 00:18:29 solution to a problem that will directly

00:18:29 --> 00:18:32 impact them than a problem that's just

00:18:32 --> 00:18:33 upsetting a few people and is considered a

00:18:33 --> 00:18:35 little niche. So it's going to be really

00:18:35 --> 00:18:37 interesting to see how these two things kind

00:18:37 --> 00:18:38 of develop in parallel, I think.

00:18:39 --> 00:18:42 Andrew Dunkley: Yeah. Uh, Elon Musk is um,

00:18:42 --> 00:18:45 to some a visionary, to others an absolute

00:18:45 --> 00:18:48 nutter. But uh, when you look at what he's

00:18:48 --> 00:18:50 achieved, you can't deny it. And when he

00:18:50 --> 00:18:52 starts to talk about doing things like this,

00:18:53 --> 00:18:56 you can't say it won't happen because

00:18:57 --> 00:18:59 he's proven that he'll put his money where

00:18:59 --> 00:19:00 his mouth is over and over again.

00:19:01 --> 00:19:03 Jonti Horner: Yeah. Um, and I do try when I'm talking about

00:19:03 --> 00:19:05 this, I know I fail sometimes, but I try to

00:19:05 --> 00:19:07 be as evenhanded as I can be M because I

00:19:07 --> 00:19:10 think very few people are purely good or

00:19:10 --> 00:19:11 purely evil. There's good and bad to most

00:19:11 --> 00:19:13 people and there are good and bad to the

00:19:13 --> 00:19:15 things that people do. And when we've talked

00:19:15 --> 00:19:18 a lot about Starlink, I always want

00:19:18 --> 00:19:20 to be a parent of stress that there is real

00:19:20 --> 00:19:21 benefit comes from this as well. Cause I

00:19:21 --> 00:19:23 think a big mistake people make is only

00:19:23 --> 00:19:26 focusing on the negative. And that doesn't

00:19:26 --> 00:19:28 put you in a good position. You need to look

00:19:28 --> 00:19:30 not to stop things entirely, but to look for

00:19:30 --> 00:19:32 a position where you get the maximum benefit

00:19:32 --> 00:19:33 for the minimum cost. You know that sweet

00:19:33 --> 00:19:34 spot.

00:19:34 --> 00:19:34 Andrew Dunkley: Yeah.

00:19:34 --> 00:19:37 Jonti Horner: And it is undeniable that Starlink has

00:19:37 --> 00:19:40 brought with it great benefits to people

00:19:40 --> 00:19:42 in terms of being able to access the Internet

00:19:42 --> 00:19:44 and access communication where previously

00:19:44 --> 00:19:45 they weren't able to see, were too remote.

00:19:46 --> 00:19:48 It's also come with associated problems and I

00:19:48 --> 00:19:51 think this kind of endeavour is going to be

00:19:51 --> 00:19:54 the same. It's also probably very fair to say

00:19:54 --> 00:19:56 that that commercial use of the Moon and

00:19:56 --> 00:19:58 commercial use of other things in the solar

00:19:58 --> 00:20:00 system is going to happen whether SpaceX do

00:20:00 --> 00:20:02 it or not. But they're very much at the

00:20:02 --> 00:20:05 forefront. So I don't see an argument to be

00:20:05 --> 00:20:06 made for just saying, oh well, they should

00:20:06 --> 00:20:08 stop this and think about it. I think what's

00:20:08 --> 00:20:10 really important is all this stuff is

00:20:10 --> 00:20:13 discussed very publicly and, um,

00:20:13 --> 00:20:16 we figure out what humanity as a

00:20:16 --> 00:20:19 whole thinks is the right balance to have.

00:20:19 --> 00:20:21 And that's challenging. I mean, it's not a

00:20:21 --> 00:20:23 case of nothing and it's not a case of

00:20:23 --> 00:20:25 everything. But it's probably going to be the

00:20:25 --> 00:20:28 case that, uh, the use of the Moon is just

00:20:28 --> 00:20:30 like the use of low Earth orbit, where the

00:20:30 --> 00:20:32 commercial use rapidly outstrips our,

00:20:32 --> 00:20:34 uh, abilities, at least at first, to

00:20:34 --> 00:20:36 legislate around it and then the legislation

00:20:36 --> 00:20:39 will come afterwards in much the same way. We

00:20:39 --> 00:20:41 were talking last week about previous

00:20:41 --> 00:20:43 examples being things like the Internet or

00:20:43 --> 00:20:45 even the printing press, things like this.

00:20:45 --> 00:20:48 The use always outstrips the legislation.

00:20:48 --> 00:20:50 Then the legislation sprints capture.

00:20:51 --> 00:20:54 Andrew Dunkley: Yes, uh, well, it crawls

00:20:54 --> 00:20:56 in some cases, but I know what you mean. Um,

00:20:57 --> 00:20:59 and look, if SpaceX don't do this, as you

00:20:59 --> 00:21:02 said, someone else will. It's, um, you know,

00:21:02 --> 00:21:04 everyone can point the finger at Elon Musk

00:21:04 --> 00:21:07 and SpaceX and say, oh, naughty. But

00:21:07 --> 00:21:10 if they say, look, yeah, okay, we agree

00:21:10 --> 00:21:12 it's a bad idea, we won't do it, someone else

00:21:12 --> 00:21:14 will. Absolutely, most certainly.

00:21:15 --> 00:21:18 So, uh, it's probably more a case of finding

00:21:18 --> 00:21:21 a way to manage this properly into the future

00:21:21 --> 00:21:23 rather than just saying, no, it shouldn't

00:21:23 --> 00:21:26 happen, shouldn't be done, no way, no how,

00:21:26 --> 00:21:28 because it will happen regardless.

00:21:29 --> 00:21:31 Interesting times ahead. Uh, yeah, a couple

00:21:31 --> 00:21:34 of interesting storeys focused, uh, on the

00:21:34 --> 00:21:35 Moon. And if you want to read about that

00:21:35 --> 00:21:38 impact, you can do that at,

00:21:38 --> 00:21:39 uh, the

00:21:40 --> 00:21:43 space.com website. I knew I'd find it there

00:21:43 --> 00:21:45 somewhere. This is Space Nuts with Andrew

00:21:45 --> 00:21:47 Dunkley and Professor Jonty Horner.

00:21:49 --> 00:21:51 I believe that this nation should commit

00:21:51 --> 00:21:53 itself to achieving the goal,

00:21:54 --> 00:21:57 before this decade is out, of landing a

00:21:57 --> 00:21:57 man

00:21:57 --> 00:21:59 Jonti Horner: on the moon and returning him safely to the

00:21:59 --> 00:22:01 Earth. These nuts.

00:22:02 --> 00:22:04 Andrew Dunkley: Now to something very exciting. We've been

00:22:04 --> 00:22:07 building up to this for quite some time and

00:22:07 --> 00:22:09 as this podcast, uh, goes

00:22:09 --> 00:22:12 out um, the day of release for this one is

00:22:12 --> 00:22:15 the 27th of August. Uh, we are three

00:22:15 --> 00:22:18 days away from the launch

00:22:18 --> 00:22:20 of the Nancy Grey Space Roman

00:22:20 --> 00:22:23 Observatory. That is big time

00:22:23 --> 00:22:24 excitement.

00:22:24 --> 00:22:26 Jonti Horner: It is of course the caveat is that uh, in the

00:22:26 --> 00:22:28 couple of weeks between recording this and it

00:22:28 --> 00:22:30 going live, it could be delayed change, you

00:22:30 --> 00:22:32 know, it's like, like the trains in the uk,

00:22:32 --> 00:22:34 never trust that they're going to arrive

00:22:34 --> 00:22:35 until they actually have done and even then

00:22:35 --> 00:22:38 be sceptical. Yeah, it's that kind of

00:22:38 --> 00:22:41 thing. But in this case that would be quite

00:22:41 --> 00:22:42 startling because until very recently

00:22:44 --> 00:22:45 everybody was expecting this telescope to be

00:22:45 --> 00:22:48 launched next year. So the, the launch,

00:22:48 --> 00:22:51 if it goes ahead on 30 August

00:22:51 --> 00:22:53 will be a launch that is nine months ahead of

00:22:53 --> 00:22:55 schedule, which is very, very cool. Now the

00:22:55 --> 00:22:58 scheduled launch time at the time of

00:22:58 --> 00:23:00 recording will be the 30th of August at

00:23:00 --> 00:23:03 uh, 9:26pm Australian

00:23:03 --> 00:23:05 Eastern Standard Time, which is 11, um,

00:23:05 --> 00:23:08 26:00am Universal Time or Greenwich Mean

00:23:08 --> 00:23:11 Time. I think a lot of these launches get

00:23:11 --> 00:23:13 streamed online so for those of you who are

00:23:13 --> 00:23:15 keen, there will almost certainly be live

00:23:15 --> 00:23:17 coverage of that. Uh, and a lot of very

00:23:17 --> 00:23:18 nervous people watching the launch hoping

00:23:18 --> 00:23:21 that it doesn't turn into a. Which has

00:23:21 --> 00:23:22 happened before.

00:23:22 --> 00:23:25 Andrew Dunkley: It has. We don't want to think about

00:23:25 --> 00:23:27 that. We're talking $4 billion

00:23:28 --> 00:23:29 worth of hardware.

00:23:29 --> 00:23:31 Jonti Horner: We are. But I mean this is why there are

00:23:31 --> 00:23:34 insurance policies, right? It's um,

00:23:35 --> 00:23:36 there is a risk.

00:23:36 --> 00:23:38 Andrew Dunkley: I'm surprised you'd find an insurance company

00:23:38 --> 00:23:39 willing.

00:23:40 --> 00:23:41 Jonti Horner: I think it's become fairly big business

00:23:41 --> 00:23:43 actually. I mean it's not my area, but I

00:23:43 --> 00:23:46 remember when we went to meetings

00:23:46 --> 00:23:49 a few years ago about off Earth resource

00:23:49 --> 00:23:50 collection, there was discussion about

00:23:50 --> 00:23:53 insurance and stuff like that and apparently

00:23:53 --> 00:23:55 there are insurance underwriters who insure

00:23:55 --> 00:23:58 satellites and launchers and

00:23:58 --> 00:24:00 I think I seem to remember, although I stand

00:24:00 --> 00:24:02 to be corrected on this, that the cluster

00:24:02 --> 00:24:05 mission probably 15, 20 years ago

00:24:05 --> 00:24:07 now blew up on the launch pad and insurance

00:24:07 --> 00:24:10 allowed them to essentially rebuild it and

00:24:10 --> 00:24:13 launch it again. Um, so it does happen, but

00:24:13 --> 00:24:16 fingers crossed, touch wood, there will be no

00:24:16 --> 00:24:17 problems with this. And um, what will happen

00:24:17 --> 00:24:20 is that on the 30th of August a uh, rocket

00:24:20 --> 00:24:23 will take off. SpaceX rocket that will carry

00:24:23 --> 00:24:25 Nancy Grace Roman Telescope

00:24:25 --> 00:24:28 into Earth orbit and beyond will boost

00:24:28 --> 00:24:30 hard, um, just like happened with the James

00:24:30 --> 00:24:32 Webb Space Telescope to give it a good kick

00:24:32 --> 00:24:34 because this thing is destined to go out to

00:24:34 --> 00:24:37 join James Webb at the outer Lagrange point,

00:24:37 --> 00:24:39 um, beyond the Earth, uh, so about a million

00:24:39 --> 00:24:41 kilometres further from the sun than the

00:24:41 --> 00:24:43 Earth is but moving in lockstep with our ah,

00:24:43 --> 00:24:45 at this kind of gravitational sweet spot

00:24:45 --> 00:24:48 where you can hang around fairly safely for a

00:24:48 --> 00:24:50 long time. To do that it is

00:24:50 --> 00:24:53 loaded with what is described as a very

00:24:53 --> 00:24:56 toxic fuel, um, hydrazine.

00:24:57 --> 00:24:59 They want to move away from it but until they

00:24:59 --> 00:25:00 find a better alternative they haven't yet.

00:25:00 --> 00:25:03 So as we talk right now

00:25:03 --> 00:25:06 the spacecraft has been fully fueled

00:25:06 --> 00:25:08 which is why they're fairly confident that

00:25:08 --> 00:25:11 they'll launch on time. That amount of fuel

00:25:11 --> 00:25:14 sets the lifetime of the mission. And there

00:25:14 --> 00:25:15 were similar discussions with Jim James Webb

00:25:15 --> 00:25:18 when it launched a few years ago in that the

00:25:18 --> 00:25:21 nominal mission is five years. So once Nancy

00:25:21 --> 00:25:23 Grace Roman gets to the L2 point and that

00:25:23 --> 00:25:25 journey will take about 100 days from the

00:25:25 --> 00:25:27 launch it is scheduled to have

00:25:28 --> 00:25:30 around a five year mission.

00:25:31 --> 00:25:34 May have a longer mission than that if it

00:25:34 --> 00:25:37 manages to keep hold of its hydrozine fuel.

00:25:37 --> 00:25:39 So what happened with James Webb was uh,

00:25:39 --> 00:25:41 everybody was delighted with how accurately

00:25:41 --> 00:25:43 and beautifully it launched so it needed to

00:25:43 --> 00:25:46 use less fuel to get on station which meant

00:25:46 --> 00:25:48 that have more fuel for a longer life

00:25:49 --> 00:25:52 and therefore the projected mission went from

00:25:52 --> 00:25:55 five years to maybe 10 or 20. Managed to keep

00:25:55 --> 00:25:57 those sorts of fuel and hopefully fingers

00:25:57 --> 00:26:00 crossed, such wood. Again the same will be

00:26:00 --> 00:26:02 true for Nancy Grace Roman Telescope.

00:26:03 --> 00:26:04 People have been really looking forward to

00:26:04 --> 00:26:07 this. Now the first I remember of Nancy Grace

00:26:07 --> 00:26:09 Roman Telescope was when it used to be badged

00:26:09 --> 00:26:11 as wfirst a Wide Field Infrared Survey

00:26:11 --> 00:26:13 Telescope. That was kind of the first

00:26:13 --> 00:26:15 proposal and that was going back to 2011,

00:26:15 --> 00:26:18 2012. And shortly after those first

00:26:18 --> 00:26:21 proposals there was a really interesting

00:26:21 --> 00:26:24 storey came out that NASA had been told

00:26:24 --> 00:26:26 that there were suddenly a number of

00:26:27 --> 00:26:29 what are known as National Reconnaissance

00:26:29 --> 00:26:31 Office telescopes made m by the Harris

00:26:31 --> 00:26:34 Corporation. Um, the nro

00:26:34 --> 00:26:37 uh, offered to donate two telescopes to

00:26:37 --> 00:26:40 NASA which are telescopes comparable in

00:26:40 --> 00:26:41 size to the Hubble Space Telescope but a

00:26:41 --> 00:26:44 wider field of view. To put that in other

00:26:44 --> 00:26:46 language. Effectively the defence community

00:26:46 --> 00:26:48 in the US said by the way, we've got a couple

00:26:48 --> 00:26:50 of spy satellites that we're not going to use

00:26:50 --> 00:26:52 so do you want them to actually do science?

00:26:53 --> 00:26:56 Which meant at least to me for the first time

00:26:56 --> 00:26:57 I became aware of the fact that there were a

00:26:57 --> 00:26:59 number of Hubble class telescopes orbiting

00:26:59 --> 00:27:02 the Earth. Looking down, um, I hadn't quite

00:27:02 --> 00:27:04 realised spy satellites had got that big and

00:27:04 --> 00:27:07 that impressive. But anyway

00:27:07 --> 00:27:08 that was a really nice

00:27:09 --> 00:27:12 mechanism through which you know you could do

00:27:12 --> 00:27:15 a cool mission a little bit cheaper. That

00:27:15 --> 00:27:16 got a bit of political interest and all the

00:27:16 --> 00:27:19 rest of it. But over time since

00:27:19 --> 00:27:22 the telescope was planned and then approved

00:27:22 --> 00:27:25 and then built. Now, I must confess

00:27:25 --> 00:27:27 that I don't actually know whether the

00:27:27 --> 00:27:29 current iteration of Nancy Grace Roman is a

00:27:29 --> 00:27:31 former spy satellite or whether they moved

00:27:31 --> 00:27:34 away from that. But what it is going to be is

00:27:34 --> 00:27:37 a space telescope with a mirror 2.4 metres

00:27:37 --> 00:27:39 across, which is your Hubble Space Telescope

00:27:39 --> 00:27:42 size, wider field of view than Hubble

00:27:42 --> 00:27:45 that will observe in the optical and in the

00:27:45 --> 00:27:48 near infrared using two instruments. So it's

00:27:48 --> 00:27:50 going to have a very wonderful wide field

00:27:50 --> 00:27:53 camera. This is a camera with

00:27:53 --> 00:27:56 300 megapixels. So

00:27:56 --> 00:27:58 that's a hell of a lot better than the CCD

00:27:58 --> 00:28:01 camera I've got on my digital telescope here.

00:28:01 --> 00:28:04 On my telescope here. Fabulous camera

00:28:04 --> 00:28:06 that will work at both visible and near

00:28:06 --> 00:28:08 infrared, will be able to take take images in

00:28:08 --> 00:28:10 a wide variety of colour bands and things

00:28:10 --> 00:28:12 like this. So that's going to be a fabulous

00:28:13 --> 00:28:15 camera that allows survey work to be done.

00:28:15 --> 00:28:18 And a lot of the work that is planned for

00:28:18 --> 00:28:21 this incredible telescope will be looking at

00:28:21 --> 00:28:22 the kind of cosmology stuff that you get so

00:28:22 --> 00:28:25 many questions about dark energy and

00:28:25 --> 00:28:27 gravitational lensing and things like this.

00:28:27 --> 00:28:29 Stuff that's a bit outside my professional

00:28:29 --> 00:28:32 wheelhouse, but it's also going to be

00:28:32 --> 00:28:34 carrying out an incredible survey looking for

00:28:34 --> 00:28:36 exoplanets. It's going to stare at the bulge

00:28:36 --> 00:28:39 of the Milky Way galaxy, looking for gravity

00:28:39 --> 00:28:41 gravitational microlensing events, which is

00:28:41 --> 00:28:43 when a planet going around a star where we

00:28:43 --> 00:28:45 can see neither the star nor the planet

00:28:46 --> 00:28:48 passes between us and a more distant star

00:28:48 --> 00:28:50 and some of the light from that sour is bent

00:28:50 --> 00:28:52 and focused towards us, causing the star to

00:28:52 --> 00:28:55 brighten and then fade. That microlensing

00:28:55 --> 00:28:57 event lets us detect the object that we can't

00:28:57 --> 00:29:00 see passing by in between and it

00:29:00 --> 00:29:02 will also let us find free floating planets.

00:29:02 --> 00:29:05 So Nancy Grace Roman Telescope still going to

00:29:05 --> 00:29:07 do a fabulous kind of census type survey

00:29:07 --> 00:29:10 of planets towards the middle of our galaxy

00:29:10 --> 00:29:13 using this micro technique. It's

00:29:13 --> 00:29:15 also carrying its other instrument, which is

00:29:15 --> 00:29:18 a really high contrast camera with a very

00:29:18 --> 00:29:21 small field of view, very different, that is

00:29:21 --> 00:29:24 attached to a coronagraph. And a coronagraph

00:29:24 --> 00:29:26 is a fabulous device that allows you to block

00:29:26 --> 00:29:29 out the light from a light source like

00:29:29 --> 00:29:32 a star and allow you to look at things that

00:29:32 --> 00:29:34 are very near to that light source that would

00:29:34 --> 00:29:36 normally be lost in the glare. And um, this

00:29:36 --> 00:29:38 is planned to take advantage of the fact that

00:29:38 --> 00:29:40 this thing's in space. We don't have the

00:29:40 --> 00:29:42 Earth's atmosphere to deal with to

00:29:43 --> 00:29:45 use both the camera and a spectrograph that

00:29:45 --> 00:29:48 are connected to this coronagraph

00:29:48 --> 00:29:51 to look at exoplanets and actually try and

00:29:51 --> 00:29:54 get direct imaging observations of them and

00:29:54 --> 00:29:56 to learn more about their atmospheres. It'll

00:29:56 --> 00:29:57 be used for planets more like the size of

00:29:57 --> 00:30:00 Jupiter than the Earth, but it's going to be

00:30:00 --> 00:30:02 an incredible tool for learning more about

00:30:02 --> 00:30:03 planets around stars like the sun

00:30:03 --> 00:30:04 effectively.

00:30:04 --> 00:30:07 Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, it's going to be very exciting and uh,

00:30:07 --> 00:30:09 can't wait. Hopefully everything will run

00:30:09 --> 00:30:12 according to plan on August 30th, which

00:30:12 --> 00:30:14 uh, by the time this, this podcast is

00:30:14 --> 00:30:17 released we'll be three days away. And

00:30:18 --> 00:30:21 um, yeah, we wait with bated breath. Uh, it's

00:30:21 --> 00:30:23 only got to go a million kilometres to get

00:30:23 --> 00:30:26 where it's going which will take um, it's not

00:30:26 --> 00:30:28 a heck of a long trip but it's going to take

00:30:28 --> 00:30:31 them ah, a little while to get there. I can't

00:30:31 --> 00:30:32 remember how long it was now.

00:30:33 --> 00:30:35 Jonti Horner: Oh well it's 100 days to roll on out to the

00:30:35 --> 00:30:37 Lagrange point for a start and then it'll be

00:30:37 --> 00:30:40 time to get yourself fired up and

00:30:40 --> 00:30:42 get all the testing done and all the rest of

00:30:42 --> 00:30:44 it. But it's going to be a fabulous tool and

00:30:44 --> 00:30:47 I think, I know I myself, my

00:30:47 --> 00:30:49 research is mainly theoretical, I'm mainly

00:30:49 --> 00:30:51 working on computers and to be honest I'm at

00:30:51 --> 00:30:53 a stage in my career and I'm sure Fred Watson

00:30:53 --> 00:30:54 can empathise with this where I'm becoming

00:30:54 --> 00:30:56 more of an administrator and a supervisor

00:30:56 --> 00:30:58 than I am a researcher. But um, I know

00:30:58 --> 00:31:00 colleagues of mine at UNISQ have been very

00:31:00 --> 00:31:03 successful in getting time to use the James

00:31:03 --> 00:31:05 Webb Space Telescope to study exoplanet

00:31:05 --> 00:31:06 atmospheres. And I'm thinking here

00:31:06 --> 00:31:09 particularly of George Zhao and Chelsea Huang

00:31:09 --> 00:31:11 who are really uh, truly world class

00:31:11 --> 00:31:13 scientists and I think they are waiting with

00:31:13 --> 00:31:15 bated breath to see what be able to do with

00:31:15 --> 00:31:18 this. So yes, you'll get a lot of discoveries

00:31:18 --> 00:31:20 coming out from the us but we will have

00:31:20 --> 00:31:22 Australian involvement looking at this and

00:31:22 --> 00:31:24 getting amazing results right here in

00:31:24 --> 00:31:26 Australia and for people living in other

00:31:26 --> 00:31:28 countries, other countries will have their

00:31:28 --> 00:31:30 own scientists beavering away

00:31:31 --> 00:31:33 using Nancy Grey's Roman telescope to do

00:31:33 --> 00:31:35 amazing, amazing things indeed.

00:31:35 --> 00:31:38 Andrew Dunkley: And uh, we will uh, obviously let you

00:31:38 --> 00:31:41 know how it all goes uh, once we know

00:31:42 --> 00:31:44 whether or not it launched on time, whether

00:31:44 --> 00:31:46 or not anything fingers crossed happened to

00:31:46 --> 00:31:49 uh, slow it down, whatever. Hopefully not. It

00:31:49 --> 00:31:52 should all go according to plan one

00:31:52 --> 00:31:55 hopes. Um, anyway we'll watch with interest

00:31:55 --> 00:31:57 and you can read that storey also on

00:31:57 --> 00:31:59 space.com, but uh, there are plenty of

00:31:59 --> 00:32:01 platforms carrying the storey of the Nancy

00:32:01 --> 00:32:03 Grace Roman Observatory. And um,

00:32:03 --> 00:32:06 if all goes to plan, there'll be many, many

00:32:06 --> 00:32:08 more storeys in a few days time. This is

00:32:08 --> 00:32:11 Space Nuts and you're uh, with Andrew Dunkley

00:32:11 --> 00:32:12 and Professor Jonty Horn.

00:32:16 --> 00:32:18 Jonti Horner: Three, two, one.

00:32:18 --> 00:32:20 Space Nuts.

00:32:20 --> 00:32:22 Andrew Dunkley: And seeing we've got a few minutes up our

00:32:22 --> 00:32:24 sleeve, we'll go on to our third and final

00:32:24 --> 00:32:25 storey.

00:32:25 --> 00:32:27 And this one involves three, uh,

00:32:28 --> 00:32:30 moons of Neptune which they think,

00:32:30 --> 00:32:33 according to a new study, might have uh, been

00:32:33 --> 00:32:35 created in a rather

00:32:36 --> 00:32:38 um, Earth, uh, shattering or Neptune

00:32:38 --> 00:32:41 shattering way involving the moon

00:32:41 --> 00:32:43 Triton, which is also a very mysterious

00:32:43 --> 00:32:45 place in our solar system.

00:32:46 --> 00:32:48 Jonti Horner: Yeah, and this is a fascinating one. Now some

00:32:48 --> 00:32:50 of the coverage of this has been kind of

00:32:50 --> 00:32:53 presenting this as a new theory that's come

00:32:53 --> 00:32:54 up from the observations. And to me it's

00:32:54 --> 00:32:57 actually a bit the other way around where

00:32:57 --> 00:32:59 these are observations that are potentially

00:32:59 --> 00:33:01 supporting ideas that have been held for a

00:33:01 --> 00:33:04 fair while. Now. Neptune has a

00:33:04 --> 00:33:07 system of satellites like the other giant

00:33:07 --> 00:33:09 planets in the ice giant Uranus. But

00:33:09 --> 00:33:12 Neptune's is unusual. You've a

00:33:12 --> 00:33:15 real behemoth of a moon in the form of Triton

00:33:15 --> 00:33:18 that along with our moon is one of the two

00:33:18 --> 00:33:20 oddest moons of any planet in the solar

00:33:20 --> 00:33:23 system. To give a bit of context from that

00:33:23 --> 00:33:26 and take a step back, aside from our moon and

00:33:26 --> 00:33:29 Triton, all of the other hundreds of moons

00:33:29 --> 00:33:31 in the solar system fall into two real

00:33:31 --> 00:33:33 categories. You've got regular satellites

00:33:34 --> 00:33:37 which fall on orbits

00:33:37 --> 00:33:39 that are above the equators of their planets,

00:33:39 --> 00:33:41 are very close in and they're going around on

00:33:41 --> 00:33:43 circular orbits that are in the same

00:33:43 --> 00:33:45 direction as a planet's spin. And they're

00:33:45 --> 00:33:47 thought to have formed particularly around

00:33:47 --> 00:33:50 the gas giant planets, but also around Uranus

00:33:50 --> 00:33:52 and Neptune in much the same way that the

00:33:52 --> 00:33:53 planets formed around the sun in that you had

00:33:53 --> 00:33:55 a disc of material around the planet and

00:33:55 --> 00:33:57 moons formed in that disc. They're quite

00:33:57 --> 00:34:00 compact and close in. You've

00:34:00 --> 00:34:02 then got irregular satellites which are um,

00:34:02 --> 00:34:04 much, much, much further from their planets,

00:34:05 --> 00:34:07 um, are found around. The outer planets

00:34:08 --> 00:34:11 are moving on a wide range of very elongated,

00:34:11 --> 00:34:14 often retrograde orbits to be captured

00:34:14 --> 00:34:16 objects that have then been smashed into

00:34:16 --> 00:34:19 pieces, giving you families of satellites.

00:34:19 --> 00:34:21 And it's these that give Jupiter and Saturn

00:34:21 --> 00:34:23 in particular such incredible numbers of

00:34:23 --> 00:34:26 satellites. More than 100 for Jupiter, more

00:34:26 --> 00:34:27 than 200 for Saturn, currently known.

00:34:29 --> 00:34:32 Triton and our moon stand out as

00:34:32 --> 00:34:34 oddities because they don't quite fit either

00:34:34 --> 00:34:37 class. And for Earth's

00:34:37 --> 00:34:39 satellite, the moon, the origin of the moon

00:34:39 --> 00:34:41 seems to have been a giant impact, very

00:34:41 --> 00:34:43 different to either scenario. For the Regular

00:34:43 --> 00:34:46 irregular sate. But Triton around

00:34:46 --> 00:34:49 Neptune is really kind of weird.

00:34:49 --> 00:34:51 It's a moon that is 2 kilometres in

00:34:51 --> 00:34:54 diameter. It's a chunky

00:34:54 --> 00:34:57 boy. It is close enough in that it

00:34:57 --> 00:34:59 would normally be considered one of the

00:34:59 --> 00:35:01 regular satellites. And it is orbiting

00:35:01 --> 00:35:04 pretty much above Neptune's equator. But it's

00:35:04 --> 00:35:06 going around the wrong way. It's moving on a

00:35:06 --> 00:35:09 retrograde orbit when all of the other

00:35:09 --> 00:35:11 moons in the inner part of the Neptune system

00:35:11 --> 00:35:14 are going around on a programme red orbit. So

00:35:14 --> 00:35:16 there is no real possibility that Triton

00:35:16 --> 00:35:18 could have formed where it is today. And

00:35:18 --> 00:35:21 that's led for many decades

00:35:21 --> 00:35:23 people to speculate as to the origin of

00:35:23 --> 00:35:26 Triton. And typically the two main ideas

00:35:26 --> 00:35:29 are either that it was formed by a

00:35:29 --> 00:35:31 transeptunion object or an object like Pluto

00:35:32 --> 00:35:34 coming into the Neptune system, colliding

00:35:34 --> 00:35:36 with the moon, knocking that moon out of

00:35:36 --> 00:35:38 orbit, and Triton being captured by the

00:35:38 --> 00:35:40 exchange of angular momentum. That's not

00:35:40 --> 00:35:42 really the favourite idea though. The

00:35:42 --> 00:35:44 favoured idea is that you had a binary object

00:35:44 --> 00:35:47 a bit like Pluto and Charon, or

00:35:47 --> 00:35:50 many of the transeptunion objects are these

00:35:50 --> 00:35:53 quite wide binaries of objects with similar

00:35:53 --> 00:35:55 sizes. You had one of these

00:35:55 --> 00:35:57 objects in the early days of the solar

00:35:57 --> 00:35:59 system, came very close to Neptune and you

00:35:59 --> 00:36:01 had this three body encounter where you've

00:36:01 --> 00:36:04 got Triton and um, its companion,

00:36:04 --> 00:36:06 which was possibly another object the size of

00:36:06 --> 00:36:09 Pluto, bound together, coming

00:36:09 --> 00:36:11 so close to Neptune that Neptune tore the

00:36:11 --> 00:36:14 couple apart. As it tore them apart,

00:36:14 --> 00:36:16 Triton was moving around its shared centre of

00:36:16 --> 00:36:19 mass with its partner at such a speed that it

00:36:19 --> 00:36:21 was moving slower than the escape velocity of

00:36:21 --> 00:36:23 Neptune. So one component of the binary was

00:36:23 --> 00:36:25 flung out and the other was captured. And

00:36:25 --> 00:36:27 that's a way to slow something down enough

00:36:27 --> 00:36:30 that it can be captured. So you trap Triton

00:36:30 --> 00:36:33 into this orbit that is retrograde,

00:36:33 --> 00:36:35 going around the wrong way around that

00:36:35 --> 00:36:38 quickly damps down to become circular because

00:36:38 --> 00:36:40 of tidal effects with Neptune.

00:36:41 --> 00:36:43 Now that seems to be the storey of Triton.

00:36:43 --> 00:36:45 And what supports this is that the regular

00:36:45 --> 00:36:47 satellites of Neptune are uh, pretty small

00:36:47 --> 00:36:50 and insignificant and smaller and

00:36:50 --> 00:36:53 more insignificant than the similar satellite

00:36:53 --> 00:36:55 systems of the other planets. They seem to be

00:36:55 --> 00:36:56 a bit smaller and more weedy than you'd

00:36:56 --> 00:36:57 expect them to be.

00:36:57 --> 00:36:58 Andrew Dunkley: Yeah.

00:36:58 --> 00:37:00 Jonti Horner: So the idea is that the capture of a moon the

00:37:00 --> 00:37:03 size of Triton would be pretty dramatic

00:37:03 --> 00:37:05 and would destabilise the Neptune system.

00:37:06 --> 00:37:09 The outside Triton, Nereid, which was the

00:37:09 --> 00:37:11 second moon to be found around Neptune, is a

00:37:11 --> 00:37:14 really interesting one because it's a fair

00:37:14 --> 00:37:15 bit further out than Triton but it's moving

00:37:15 --> 00:37:18 on this really elongated prograde orbit.

00:37:18 --> 00:37:20 And um, it's thought that that may well have

00:37:20 --> 00:37:23 been initially a regular satellite

00:37:23 --> 00:37:25 that was destabilised by Triton and flung

00:37:25 --> 00:37:27 onto this longer orbit. It's not really

00:37:27 --> 00:37:30 considered an irregular moon even though it

00:37:30 --> 00:37:32 behaves a bit like when it's really close in.

00:37:32 --> 00:37:34 But the moon's closer to Neptune, Neptune

00:37:34 --> 00:37:37 than Triton, of which there are seven known.

00:37:37 --> 00:37:39 We've got Naiad, Thalassa, Despina,

00:37:39 --> 00:37:42 Galatea, Larissa, Hippocamp and Proteus.

00:37:43 --> 00:37:45 They're all relatively small.

00:37:45 --> 00:37:48 Proteus is the biggest at 420ks.

00:37:48 --> 00:37:51 The rest are not quite as big. And um, the

00:37:51 --> 00:37:53 only images we've got up close and personal

00:37:53 --> 00:37:55 come from the Voyager 2 spacecraft in 1989

00:37:55 --> 00:37:57 that show these moons to be a little bit

00:37:57 --> 00:38:00 irregular. And um, they're also a little bit

00:38:00 --> 00:38:03 more stirred up and agitated in orbital

00:38:03 --> 00:38:05 tilts and orbital eccentricities than in,

00:38:06 --> 00:38:08 I mean they're barely tilted and they're

00:38:08 --> 00:38:10 barely on non circular orbits but you'd

00:38:10 --> 00:38:12 expect them, if they were properly original

00:38:12 --> 00:38:14 regulars to be totally circular.

00:38:15 --> 00:38:18 So the idea is maybe Triton stir them up.

00:38:19 --> 00:38:21 Now one of the suggestions to explain why

00:38:21 --> 00:38:23 they're all so small is that Triton as it was

00:38:23 --> 00:38:26 captured and then at its migrated senses,

00:38:26 --> 00:38:27 stirred them up enough that the original

00:38:27 --> 00:38:30 moons were destroyed. It stirred them onto

00:38:30 --> 00:38:32 all bits that collided with each other that

00:38:32 --> 00:38:34 formed a new disc of material. Some was lost

00:38:34 --> 00:38:37 but new moons were born of the process. And

00:38:37 --> 00:38:39 uh, that's become kind of like the canonical

00:38:40 --> 00:38:42 understanding of what we think happened to

00:38:42 --> 00:38:44 Neptune's moons in the early days.

00:38:44 --> 00:38:46 And that all a lot of background brings us to

00:38:46 --> 00:38:48 the new observations. As I say, the

00:38:48 --> 00:38:51 observations we had before came from

00:38:51 --> 00:38:54 Voyager 2. That's the up close and personal

00:38:54 --> 00:38:56 we've got. But there's been some new work

00:38:56 --> 00:38:59 done using the James Webb Space Telescope to

00:38:59 --> 00:39:01 get data ah on three of these moons,

00:39:02 --> 00:39:05 Lara, Larissa and Galatea being two of them

00:39:05 --> 00:39:07 and I think the third one was um,

00:39:07 --> 00:39:10 possibly um, the next one out

00:39:10 --> 00:39:12 Proteus have to double cheque that but I

00:39:12 --> 00:39:14 think it was. And what they found though was

00:39:14 --> 00:39:17 when they looked at both Larissa and

00:39:17 --> 00:39:20 um, Galatea, they

00:39:20 --> 00:39:22 found clear signals of clay

00:39:22 --> 00:39:25 type minerals on the surfaces of these moons.

00:39:26 --> 00:39:28 Now that's really unexpected.

00:39:29 --> 00:39:31 Clay minerals form at uh,

00:39:31 --> 00:39:33 temperatures high enough for you to have

00:39:33 --> 00:39:36 liquid water because clays are formed in the

00:39:36 --> 00:39:38 presence of liquid water. And the surfaces of

00:39:38 --> 00:39:41 moons in Neptune's orbit are blooming cold.

00:39:41 --> 00:39:44 You know, they're like 180200 degrees below

00:39:44 --> 00:39:46 freezing, which is not where you'd expect to

00:39:46 --> 00:39:48 find liquid water. So what the authors are

00:39:48 --> 00:39:51 proposing is that, uh, the surfaces of these

00:39:51 --> 00:39:53 moons, which look, to be honest, more like

00:39:53 --> 00:39:54 the surfaces of asteroids in the asteroid

00:39:54 --> 00:39:57 belt, are actually made from

00:39:57 --> 00:40:00 material that was once deep in the interior

00:40:00 --> 00:40:03 of moons that formed before, that therefore

00:40:03 --> 00:40:05 got hot enough for liquid water to be

00:40:05 --> 00:40:07 present. And we've talked a lot before about

00:40:07 --> 00:40:09 other moons in the solar system that have

00:40:09 --> 00:40:11 subsurface oceans. So you have these

00:40:12 --> 00:40:13 first generation of moons with their

00:40:13 --> 00:40:16 subsurface oceans water present

00:40:16 --> 00:40:18 high enough temperatures for you to develop

00:40:18 --> 00:40:21 all these clay minerals. Then those moons get

00:40:21 --> 00:40:23 stirred up. When Triton is captured, there

00:40:23 --> 00:40:25 are collisions, they're smashed apart, and

00:40:25 --> 00:40:28 you create a disc of material around Neptune

00:40:28 --> 00:40:30 that contains the material from the old

00:40:30 --> 00:40:33 moons, clays and all. Then you form new

00:40:33 --> 00:40:35 moons, and some of those new moons have that

00:40:35 --> 00:40:38 clay material on their surface. So what's

00:40:38 --> 00:40:41 been argued essentially, is that this, uh,

00:40:41 --> 00:40:43 detection of clays in the last place you'd

00:40:43 --> 00:40:46 expect to find them is like the smoking gun.

00:40:46 --> 00:40:49 It's a clue that is telling us about the

00:40:49 --> 00:40:51 heritage of this system, about events that

00:40:51 --> 00:40:53 happened more than 4 billion years ago.

00:40:53 --> 00:40:55 And he's telling us about this kind of

00:40:55 --> 00:40:57 collisional history and the dramatic storey

00:40:57 --> 00:40:59 of the Neptune satellite system. I think it's

00:40:59 --> 00:41:02 an astonish, astonishingly cool result. And

00:41:02 --> 00:41:04 it's really cool for me, as someone who's

00:41:04 --> 00:41:06 read about Triton a lot in the past, thought

00:41:06 --> 00:41:08 about it a lot, that the ideas that were

00:41:08 --> 00:41:10 being put around even when I was a teenager

00:41:10 --> 00:41:12 and listening to talks at my local astronomy

00:41:12 --> 00:41:15 society about the disruption of the Neptune

00:41:15 --> 00:41:17 satellite system are suddenly finding a test,

00:41:17 --> 00:41:20 thanks to people using James Webb. So theory

00:41:20 --> 00:41:22 making a prediction, that prediction getting

00:41:22 --> 00:41:25 more support. I think this is really lovely.

00:41:25 --> 00:41:27 Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, it is. Uh, and it certainly shows the

00:41:27 --> 00:41:30 worth of James Webb. And very soon, the

00:41:30 --> 00:41:32 Nancy Grace Roman Observatory, we're, uh,

00:41:32 --> 00:41:33 going to learn more and more about some of

00:41:33 --> 00:41:36 those, um, not so deep

00:41:36 --> 00:41:39 mysteries in the scheme of things. It's not

00:41:39 --> 00:41:41 far away, Neptune, but, uh, it's far enough

00:41:41 --> 00:41:44 away to still be mysterious in many

00:41:44 --> 00:41:46 ways. We really need to send a mission out

00:41:46 --> 00:41:48 there again soon, don't we?

00:41:48 --> 00:41:50 Jonti Horner: I was just thinking that there's been a lot

00:41:50 --> 00:41:53 of talk over the last decade

00:41:53 --> 00:41:55 or so, really, with solar system astronomers,

00:41:55 --> 00:41:56 astronomers getting more and more

00:41:56 --> 00:41:59 enthusiastic about the idea of sending new

00:41:59 --> 00:42:02 spacecraft out to Uranus and Neptune. Um,

00:42:02 --> 00:42:04 there's always debate when

00:42:05 --> 00:42:07 it's time to pitch new missions for NASA, of

00:42:07 --> 00:42:10 the different scales people put in competing

00:42:10 --> 00:42:13 proposals. And I know at the Last round there

00:42:13 --> 00:42:14 were a number of proposals of missions to

00:42:14 --> 00:42:16 Venus because we've not been there for a long

00:42:16 --> 00:42:18 time in terms of the Americans sent me. I

00:42:18 --> 00:42:21 know Japan had a fabulous orbit, are doing

00:42:21 --> 00:42:23 some great work there. There were also some

00:42:23 --> 00:42:26 really strong proposals of missions

00:42:26 --> 00:42:28 to Uranus and Neptune. I think this was a

00:42:28 --> 00:42:31 kind of medium sized stuff, so not Nancy

00:42:31 --> 00:42:34 Grace Roman pots of money, but more the $400

00:42:34 --> 00:42:36 million rather than $4 billion price

00:42:36 --> 00:42:39 missions. And in the last round I think the

00:42:39 --> 00:42:41 Venus missions won. But there is this growing

00:42:42 --> 00:42:45 longing to get missions to go back there

00:42:45 --> 00:42:47 and actually have orbiters because both

00:42:47 --> 00:42:49 Uranus and Neptune, the only up close and

00:42:49 --> 00:42:51 personal we've had with them were the Voyager

00:42:51 --> 00:42:54 spacecraft that launched in 1979.

00:42:55 --> 00:42:57 You know, launched back when I was one year

00:42:57 --> 00:42:57 old.

00:42:58 --> 00:42:58 Andrew Dunkley: Yeah.

00:42:58 --> 00:43:01 Jonti Horner: And flew past Uranus and Neptune. It was only

00:43:01 --> 00:43:03 Voyager 2 that got there. Voyager 1 went off

00:43:03 --> 00:43:05 on a different journey. So we've had one

00:43:05 --> 00:43:07 spacecraft that flew past faster than a

00:43:07 --> 00:43:09 speeding bullet, that spent less than a day

00:43:09 --> 00:43:11 within good imaging distance of these

00:43:11 --> 00:43:14 planets, return really tantalising

00:43:14 --> 00:43:17 information and then departed. And we've

00:43:17 --> 00:43:19 seen how much we learned from Galileo at

00:43:19 --> 00:43:22 Jupiter, from Cassini at Saturn, from Juno at

00:43:22 --> 00:43:24 Jupiter. So there's this growing body of

00:43:24 --> 00:43:26 scientists who are desperate to see this

00:43:26 --> 00:43:29 happen. Won't be cheap. And the other thing

00:43:29 --> 00:43:31 is, if such a mission was approved like next

00:43:31 --> 00:43:34 week, probably wouldn't launch for the best

00:43:34 --> 00:43:36 part of a decade and it would take the best

00:43:36 --> 00:43:38 part of a decade to get there. So it's the

00:43:38 --> 00:43:39 kind of thing where we're talking now. And

00:43:39 --> 00:43:42 I'll probably be retarded, retired when these

00:43:42 --> 00:43:43 spacecraft get there.

00:43:43 --> 00:43:44 Andrew Dunkley: I don't want to think about it.

00:43:47 --> 00:43:49 I don't think I'll be beyond retired.

00:43:49 --> 00:43:51 Jonti Horner: Let's just say that the sooner the better

00:43:51 --> 00:43:52 that we get there then.

00:43:53 --> 00:43:55 Andrew Dunkley: Yes, indeed, great storey. You can read

00:43:55 --> 00:43:58 about it online. Um, plenty of, uh, platforms

00:43:58 --> 00:44:01 have got storeys about uh, Neptune

00:44:01 --> 00:44:03 satellites. You can read the scientific paper

00:44:03 --> 00:44:06 in detail at the journal Science

00:44:06 --> 00:44:08 Advances. That brings us to the end.

00:44:08 --> 00:44:09 Jonty, thank you very much.

00:44:10 --> 00:44:11 Jonti Horner: That's an absolute pleasure. Thank you for

00:44:11 --> 00:44:12 having me.

00:44:12 --> 00:44:14 Andrew Dunkley: Always a pleasure. Professor, uh, John de

00:44:14 --> 00:44:16 Horner, professor of Astrophysics at the

00:44:17 --> 00:44:19 University of Southern Queensland. Between

00:44:19 --> 00:44:21 episodes, don't forget to visit our website

00:44:21 --> 00:44:24 for um, things to see and do like

00:44:24 --> 00:44:26 you can, um, send us messages or questions

00:44:26 --> 00:44:28 through the Ask me anything button at the

00:44:28 --> 00:44:31 top. It's labelled ama. You can sign up for

00:44:31 --> 00:44:33 the Astronomy AstroDailyPod feed. Uh, please

00:44:33 --> 00:44:35 leave reviews about the podcast wherever you

00:44:35 --> 00:44:38 listen to us and visit, uh, the Space

00:44:38 --> 00:44:40 Nuts shop while you're there.

00:44:40 --> 00:44:43 Um, Father's Day in Australia coming up

00:44:43 --> 00:44:45 soon. That's, you know, you might find

00:44:45 --> 00:44:46 something good in there. A couple of good

00:44:46 --> 00:44:48 books have been released lately. You might

00:44:48 --> 00:44:51 like the little cat, maybe. Uh,

00:44:51 --> 00:44:54 and, uh, thanks to Huw in the studio couldn't

00:44:54 --> 00:44:56 be with us today. He was actually driving

00:44:56 --> 00:44:59 over to, um, get to the studio

00:44:59 --> 00:45:02 for us today. But then, uh, as was

00:45:02 --> 00:45:05 the case with Neptune, uh, he got hit by a

00:45:05 --> 00:45:07 Mitsubishi Triton and that was the end of

00:45:07 --> 00:45:09 that. Uh, and from me, Andrew Dunkley. Oh,

00:45:09 --> 00:45:12 he's actually okay, you know, he just

00:45:12 --> 00:45:13 couldn't make it. And from me, Andrew

00:45:13 --> 00:45:14 Dunkley. Thanks for your company. We'll catch

00:45:14 --> 00:45:17 you on the next episode of Space Nuts. Bye.

00:45:17 --> 00:45:20 Bye. You've been listening to the

00:45:20 --> 00:45:20 Space Nuts

00:45:20 --> 00:45:23 Jonti Horner: podcast, available at

00:45:23 --> 00:45:25 Apple Podcasts, Spotify,

00:45:25 --> 00:45:28 iHeartRadio or your favourite podcast

00:45:28 --> 00:45:30 player. You can also stream on

00:45:30 --> 00:45:32 demand@bytes.com.

00:45:32 --> 00:45:34 Andrew Dunkley: this has been another quality podcast

00:45:34 --> 00:45:36 production from bytes.com.

00:45:36 --> 00:45:37 Jonti Horner: um,